PolyBot

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Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-10
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.72. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.77. Range 0.69 to 0.80. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7316,63216,632
0.7416,20032,832
0.7521,09753,929
0.769,54263,471
0.774563,516
0.784363,560
0.7995364,512
0.801,64966,161
0.816,64772,808
0.8256673,374
0.831,76075,135
0.845,06380,197

Spread0.01Mid0.72

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.721,9641,964
0.714,0986,062
0.7014,55420,616
0.694,23024,847
0.683,16928,016
0.674,12032,136
0.665332,189
0.655532,244
0.641,05633,300
0.635733,357
0.625433,411
0.616733,478

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.281,9641,964
0.294,0986,062
0.3014,55420,616
0.314,23024,847
0.323,16928,016
0.334,12032,136
0.345332,189
0.355532,244
0.361,05633,300
0.375733,357
0.385433,411
0.396733,478

Spread0.01Mid0.28

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2716,63216,632
0.2616,20032,832
0.2521,09753,929
0.249,54263,471
0.234563,516
0.224363,560
0.2195364,512
0.201,64966,161
0.196,64772,808
0.1856673,374
0.171,76075,135
0.165,06380,197

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
simplemanYes86,950.46
TheReturnOfDarthMaulYes79,999.94
TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengardYes70,000
Roflan-ludomanYes36,640.38
balthazarYes30,492.92
0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159Yes26,000
puravidaYes25,790.38
Spiderman161716Yes16,331.01
forgetfuldoryYes13,006.12
StupidMonkeyyyYes10,040.97
QMG-COREYes10,001.33
aiwarYes7,499.96
gambler925Yes6,588.59
GoldmanSachsYes5,083.04
gaven-willwinYes5,000
0x2a5f…6c92Yes4,971.72
eNakeVetsYes4,259.97
charlattaYes3,930.83
0xf0ee2cFAEC57652bA202E476818eb228815C7d14-1722264740766Yes3,703.7
Elias.ThornwellYes3,245.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:32:28SELLNo0.2716$4.41
20:00:36SELLNo0.272,100$567.00
19:07:58BUYYes0.737$5.14
18:42:49SELLNo0.287,240$2027.26
18:29:00SELLNo0.292,769$802.97
18:29:00BUYYes0.72243$174.82
18:29:00BUYYes0.7197628475320$230.36
16:03:40SELLYes0.73$1.77
15:46:13BUYYes0.70999995177$5.00
14:14:49SELLNo0.2942$12.08
13:42:24BUYYes0.70999985091$1.00
12:27:13BUYYes0.70999985091$1.00
06:42:43BUYNo0.2999999994333$100.00
05:18:07BUYYes0.709999989434$24.13
02:06:15BUYYes0.70999985091$1.00
00:09:01BUYYes0.7183$58.69
00:07:46BUYYes0.7099999959160$113.70
20:48:07SELLNo0.2950$14.50
20:08:03SELLNo0.29400$116.00
19:18:18BUYNo0.29999999433$10.00
17:46:55BUYYes0.7099999996207$146.79
17:06:33SELLYes0.725$17.50
16:52:25BUYYes0.70999985091$1.00
16:52:25BUYYes0.7099999686$4.44
16:52:22BUYYes0.717$4.79