0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159
0x74b4f9447b14b12308963fc048ae363eb0756bea
- Realised P&L
- $45.3k
- Volume
- $3.30M
- Markets traded
- 353
- Open portfolio
- $106.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded353
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.914Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$3.2kat 0.938Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?
- +$3.1kat 0.804Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$3.1kat 0.868Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
- +$2.7kat 0.955Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.5k |
| 09-17 18:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.9099999928 | $10.11 |
| 09-17 17:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.9099999928 | $10.11 |
| 09-17 17:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.8k |
| 09-17 16:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $315.00 |
| 09-17 13:13 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 09-17 13:12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September? | BUY | 0.9799473684 | $744.76 |
| 09-17 13:12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.91 | $22.75 |
| 09-17 12:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $197.79 |
| 09-17 12:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September? | BUY | 0.988 | $39.52 |
| 09-17 12:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $68.60 |
| 09-17 11:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $479.29 |
| 09-17 11:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 09-17 11:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $204.48 |
| 09-17 11:55 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $352.39 |