PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GambleTheHouse

0x67d657e52db60591b27b411f0ed1dbde811c245e

Realised P&L
$7.1k
Volume
$3.74M
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$6.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6250.605$3.3k$111.26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3460.345$1.8k$8.34
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No0.3840.385$509.51+$0.68
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6390.675$450.23+$23.89
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6370.680$204.00+$13.00
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.3300.325$182.00$2.58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3370.330$99.00$2.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7100.675$33.75$1.75
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.650$32.50+$5.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5300.565$28.25+$1.75
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3240.315$27.99$0.89
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4530.425$21.25$1.38
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2800.327$16.32+$2.32
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.350$13.65$13.65
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · No0.1480.000$0.00$209.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 10:12Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.28$14.00
08-01 11:44Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.35$17.50
08-01 09:53Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$157.50
07-31 22:14Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.67$38.19
07-31 21:30Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.60025$600.25
07-31 08:38Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.65$0.10
07-30 21:34Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.6594452424$183.66
07-30 21:34Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.32$16.00
07-30 17:33Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.66$3.30
07-30 13:40Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
07-30 13:29Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.67$3.35
07-29 19:30Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.3875322753$471.28
07-29 19:06Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.46$5.99
07-29 19:06Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.3322646$166.13
07-29 19:05Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.45$16.64
Trader GambleTheHouse · PolyBot