GambleTheHouse
0x67d657e52db60591b27b411f0ed1dbde811c245e
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $3.74M
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.008Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$2.5kat 0.088Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$2.1kat 0.500High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
- +$1.9kat 0.500Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$1.6kat 0.130Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:12 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 11:44 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 08-01 09:53 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $157.50 |
| 07-31 22:14 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $38.19 |
| 07-31 21:30 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.60025 | $600.25 |
| 07-31 08:38 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.10 |
| 07-30 21:34 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.6594452424 | $183.66 |
| 07-30 21:34 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 07-30 17:33 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-30 13:40 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 07-30 13:29 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-29 19:30 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.3875322753 | $471.28 |
| 07-29 19:06 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.99 |
| 07-29 19:06 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.3322646 | $166.13 |
| 07-29 19:05 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $16.64 |