StupidMonkeyyy
0x67d657e52db60591b27b411f0ed1dbde811c245e
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $4.64M
- Markets traded
- 387
- Open portfolio
- $28.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded387
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.721Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.008Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$2.5kat 0.087Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$2.1kat 0.500High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
- +$2.0kat 0.779Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:42 | Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2925210117 | $225.19 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $11.60 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $11.60 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $8.38 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $11.60 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $279.30 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $11.60 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.22 |
| 09-17 21:32 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9077330097 | $186.99 |
| 09-17 20:53 | Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8668358746 | $91.53 |
| 09-17 20:49 | Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8463887689 | $489.85 |
| 09-17 19:45 | Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3122777778 | $281.05 |
| 09-17 19:44 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3367182213 | $190.06 |
| 09-17 19:27 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3868423381 | $244.87 |
| 09-17 19:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.50 |