PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StupidMonkeyyy

0x67d657e52db60591b27b411f0ed1dbde811c245e

Realised P&L
$11.0k
Volume
$4.64M
Markets traded
387
Open portfolio
$28.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded387
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8880.963$10.1k+$776.53
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7700.923$7.6k+$1.3k
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8440.865$2.5k+$60.72
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · No0.8530.985$2.1k+$283.09
Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · No0.8800.985$1.5k+$157.28
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.5940.655$781.41+$72.74
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9300.954$595.94+$14.69
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.870$595.38+$14.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2160.070$577.69$1.2k
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0950.042$435.55$557.46
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.3810.335$379.76$52.22
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.1510.125$359.22$76.29
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · No0.7090.820$280.44+$37.90
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · No0.8090.885$150.94+$12.94
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3410.350$123.26+$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:42Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2925210117$225.19
09-17 21:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.05$11.60
09-17 21:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.05$11.60
09-17 21:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.05$8.38
09-17 21:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.05$11.60
09-17 21:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.95$279.30
09-17 21:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.05$11.60
09-17 21:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.05$3.22
09-17 21:32Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9077330097$186.99
09-17 20:53Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8668358746$91.53
09-17 20:49Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8463887689$489.85
09-17 19:45Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3122777778$281.05
09-17 19:44Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3367182213$190.06
09-17 19:27Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3868423381$244.87
09-17 19:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1$2.50