PolyBot

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Traders

Roflan-ludoman

0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469

Realised P&L
$206.7k
Volume
$31.27M
Markets traded
1,069
Open portfolio
$120.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,069
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$39.0k+$14.0k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.835$16.7k+$1.5k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5430.935$11.2k+$4.7k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$11.0k$14.0k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.955$10.5k+$1.0k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.5450.840$10.4k+$3.6k
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$9.8k+$185.01
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9540.999$2.0k+$88.94
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8600.953$1.9k+$185.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3850.185$1.8k$1.9k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3770.547$1.7k+$536.03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.6160.945$1.6k+$553.87
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3860.145$1.3k$2.2k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.935$817.93+$65.61
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5800.765$417.56+$100.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 16:02Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.2821338737$211.12
07-17 16:02Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.2799999603$4.80
07-17 16:02Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.279999997$60.00
07-17 16:02Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.2724435621$87.58
07-08 03:06Nothing Ever Happens: JulyBUY0.3990292205$133.96
07-08 03:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$395.00
07-07 21:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8299999979$381.76
07-07 19:15Nothing Ever Happens: JulyBUY0.1933384368$211.76
07-07 18:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8499999937$93.89
07-07 11:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.85$340.00
07-07 11:22Nothing Ever Happens: JulyBUY0.1725799614$76.47
07-07 11:22Nothing Ever Happens: JulyBUY0.1725545441$105.45
07-07 11:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.85$467.50
07-07 11:22Nothing Ever Happens: JulyBUY0.1722112092$95.56
07-07 11:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.85$425.00