Roflan-ludoman
0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469
- Realised P&L
- $206.7k
- Volume
- $31.27M
- Markets traded
- 1,069
- Open portfolio
- $120.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,069
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.3kat 0.197US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$70.4kat 0.057US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$53.7kat 0.087Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$39.8kat 0.344US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$33.1kat 0.117No airdrop in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 16:02 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.2821338737 | $211.12 |
| 07-17 16:02 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.2799999603 | $4.80 |
| 07-17 16:02 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.279999997 | $60.00 |
| 07-17 16:02 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.2724435621 | $87.58 |
| 07-08 03:06 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.3990292205 | $133.96 |
| 07-08 03:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $395.00 |
| 07-07 21:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $381.76 |
| 07-07 19:15 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.1933384368 | $211.76 |
| 07-07 18:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8499999937 | $93.89 |
| 07-07 11:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $340.00 |
| 07-07 11:22 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.1725799614 | $76.47 |
| 07-07 11:22 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.1725545441 | $105.45 |
| 07-07 11:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $467.50 |
| 07-07 11:22 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.1722112092 | $95.56 |
| 07-07 11:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |