Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.022. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.020 to 0.022. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.025	2,491	2,491
0.040	20	2,511
0.048	99	2,610
0.050	100	2,710
0.090	10	2,720
0.500	114	2,834
0.501	8	2,842
0.590	483	3,325
0.595	20	3,345
0.910	5	3,350
0.956	7	3,357
0.957	800	4,157

Spread0.005Mid0.022

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	20	20
0.019	61	81
0.018	61	142
0.011	6	148
0.010	26	174
0.007	6	180
0.006	28	207
0.005	109	316
0.004	154	471
0.003	1,313	1,784
0.002	3,632	5,416
0.001	13,765	19,181

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	20	20
0.981	61	81
0.982	61	142
0.989	6	148
0.990	26	174
0.993	6	180
0.994	28	207
0.995	109	316
0.996	154	471
0.997	1,313	1,784
0.998	3,632	5,416
0.999	13,765	19,181

Spread0.005Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.975	2,491	2,491
0.960	20	2,511
0.952	99	2,610
0.950	100	2,710
0.910	10	2,720
0.500	114	2,834
0.499	8	2,842
0.410	483	3,325
0.405	20	3,345
0.090	5	3,350
0.044	7	3,357
0.043	800	4,157

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
PMPD	Yes	2,491.31
thecaricature	Yes	194.53
heyyy24	Yes	187.63
0xd4aa…d40c	Yes	123.26
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	113.75
LornaPredicts	Yes	104.92
Gurubets	Yes	95.25
suntori	Yes	55.1
k126pys	Yes	28.48
0x492f…5576	Yes	26.58
projectC	Yes	21.64
tweetmaster	Yes	21
wg233	Yes	20
0xB5f961fe4Ecc1604b877de6466F3B19fB53eF192-1774979797782	Yes	20
PostM	Yes	19.05
Punkrocker98	Yes	13.37
0xE1D415E4018407E8Ca414a07188BC94c6063A31e-1770257784056	Yes	12.8
qcp14	Yes	11.97
52adsa	Yes	4.05
tryrobo	Yes	2.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:15:01	BUY	No	0.98	1	$1.00
17:41:01	SELL	No	0.975844937	380	$370.73
22:24:05	BUY	No	0.9775757895	295	$288.00
01:47:05	BUY	No	0.976	447	$436.55
16:19:18	SELL	No	0.975	300	$292.49
04:19:47	SELL	No	0.975	1	$0.99
04:16:00	BUY	No	0.976	15	$14.53
22:32:05	BUY	No	0.9759992036	1	$1.00
07:53:38	SELL	Yes	0.024	40	$0.96
04:35:54	BUY	Yes	0.025	40	$1.00
21:40:12	SELL	No	0.975	1	$0.97
05:40:13	BUY	No	0.9759999942	102	$100.00
05:24:42	SELL	No	0.975	3	$2.92
23:51:58	BUY	No	0.976	4	$4.12
12:37:06	SELL	No	0.975	2	$1.52
04:44:06	SELL	Yes	0.025386047	195	$4.94
09:27:36	BUY	No	0.973	35	$34.25
03:31:04	SELL	No	0.967	3	$2.46
10:30:58	SELL	Yes	0.0249069884	99	$2.48
01:13:01	SELL	Yes	0.026	10	$0.26
14:19:01	BUY	No	0.9749192667	300	$292.48
15:24:51	SELL	No	0.965	1	$0.96
05:05:09	SELL	No	0.9685531183	116	$112.59
07:37:55	BUY	No	0.9759999958	31	$30.00
21:34:30	SELL	No	0.976	235	$229.04