Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. Unchanged over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.025 to 0.025. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.025	139	139
0.035	6	145
0.036	36	181
0.037	229	410
0.040	20	430
0.076	114	544
0.077	100	644
0.081	17	661
0.082	15	676
0.090	5	681
0.098	19	700
0.099	17	717

Spread0.001Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	203	203
0.023	261	464
0.022	100	564
0.018	34	598
0.017	100	698
0.012	100	798
0.007	100	898
0.004	257	1,155
0.003	529	1,684
0.002	1,088	2,772
0.001	7,597	10,370

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	203	203
0.977	261	464
0.978	100	564
0.982	34	598
0.983	100	698
0.988	100	798
0.993	100	898
0.996	257	1,155
0.997	529	1,684
0.998	1,088	2,772
0.999	7,597	10,370

Spread0.001Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.975	139	139
0.965	6	145
0.964	36	181
0.963	229	410
0.960	20	430
0.924	114	544
0.923	100	644
0.919	17	661
0.918	15	676
0.910	5	681
0.902	19	700
0.901	17	717

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
PMPD	Yes	2,697.84
52adsa	Yes	196.57
thecaricature	Yes	194.53
heyyy24	Yes	187.63
0xd4aa…d40c	Yes	123.26
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	113.75
LornaPredicts	Yes	104.92
Gurubets	Yes	95.25
tryrobo	Yes	80.01
suntori	Yes	55.1
k126pys	Yes	28.48
0x492f…5576	Yes	26.58
projectC	Yes	21.64
tweetmaster	Yes	21
wg233	Yes	20
0xB5f961fe4Ecc1604b877de6466F3B19fB53eF192-1774979797782	Yes	20
PostM	Yes	19.05
Punkrocker98	Yes	13.37
0xE1D415E4018407E8Ca414a07188BC94c6063A31e-1770257784056	Yes	12.8
qcp14	Yes	11.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:40:12	SELL	No	0.975	1	$0.97
05:40:13	BUY	No	0.9759999942	102	$100.00
05:24:42	SELL	No	0.975	3	$2.92
23:51:58	BUY	No	0.976	4	$4.12
12:37:06	SELL	No	0.975	2	$1.52
04:44:06	SELL	Yes	0.025386047	195	$4.94
09:27:36	BUY	No	0.973	35	$34.25
03:31:04	SELL	No	0.967	3	$2.46
10:30:58	SELL	Yes	0.0249069884	99	$2.48
01:13:01	SELL	Yes	0.026	10	$0.26
14:19:01	BUY	No	0.9749192667	300	$292.48
15:24:51	SELL	No	0.965	1	$0.96
05:05:09	SELL	No	0.9685531183	116	$112.59
07:37:55	BUY	No	0.9759999958	31	$30.00
21:34:30	SELL	No	0.976	235	$229.04
00:49:00	SELL	No	0.976	17	$16.59
20:03:29	SELL	No	0.976	2	$1.74
19:34:53	SELL	No	0.976	1	$1.04
19:31:39	SELL	No	0.976	1	$1.17
17:41:53	SELL	No	0.976	1	$1.17
23:37:29	SELL	Yes	0.024000025	400	$9.60
14:26:40	BUY	Yes	0.0375600076	253	$9.52
01:24:10	SELL	No	0.964	2	$1.96
14:44:06	SELL	No	0.964	2	$2.02
05:46:19	BUY	No	0.9819999234	2	$2.00