PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PostM

0xf7061e9bea193fa964dfcb4dbe67fc91fbce5c1a

Realised P&L
$-427.55
Volume
$153.6k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$6.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes0.0390.053$1.37+$0.37
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.0900.078$0.87$0.13
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$0.76$1.24
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2900.205$0.71$0.29
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0510.035$0.70$0.30
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.2840.025$0.47$4.94
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1050.046$0.44$0.56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1700.065$0.38$0.62
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0830.028$0.34$0.66
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1100.029$0.26$0.74
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0970.025$0.25$0.75
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0520.012$0.23$0.77
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0420.003$0.06$0.94
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 14, 5PM ET · Down0.7100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 21:38Dogecoin Up or Down - August 14, 5PM ETBUY0.7099999432$1.00
05-12 11:03Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.001$101.84
05-11 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
05-10 09:30Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ETBUY0.4099998237$1.00
05-09 21:23Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ETSELL0.999$2.12
05-09 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ETBUY0.8899999452$1.30
05-09 20:10Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ETBUY0.2299998275$1.00
05-09 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ETBUY0.64$1.00
05-09 18:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
05-09 18:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ETSELL0.9$1.45
05-09 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
05-09 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
05-09 17:29Will Solana dip to $50 in May?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
05-09 17:28Will Solana dip to $40 in May?BUY0.01$1.00
05-09 17:27Will Solana dip to $10 in May?BUY0.002$1.00