PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x492f8a2af43fffef6ba9cbc7a9c1b14e97805576

Realised P&L
$-0.97
Volume
$163.99
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$12.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.0500.050$1.98$0.02
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0520.040$1.52$0.48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0240.018$1.48$0.52
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.026$0.98$0.02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.0520.043$0.83$0.17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.105$0.75$0.25
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.0410.029$0.72$0.28
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0380.025$0.65$0.35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · No0.0420.027$0.64$0.36
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes0.0390.022$0.58$0.42
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0200.011$0.55$0.45
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0500.025$0.51$0.49
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0340.017$0.50$0.50
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0520.024$0.46$0.54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0120.005$0.46$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 17:24Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.02$1.00
09-13 17:24Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
09-13 17:23Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-13 17:23Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
09-13 17:23Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
09-13 17:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.0519999979$1.00
09-13 17:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?BUY0.0419999997$1.00