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Traders

0x492f8a2af43fffef6ba9cbc7a9c1b14e97805576

0x492f8a2af43fffef6ba9cbc7a9c1b14e97805576

Realised P&L
$-1.19
Volume
$163.99
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$9.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.0500.040$1.60−$0.40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0240.017$1.40−$0.60
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0340.048$1.40+$0.40
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.0410.033$0.80−$0.20
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0380.022$0.60−$0.40
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0520.015$0.59−$1.41
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.016$0.59−$0.41
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes0.0390.021$0.55−$0.45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.055$0.39−$0.61
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.060$0.35−$0.65
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0500.018$0.35−$0.65
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0200.006$0.33−$0.68
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0520.015$0.30−$0.70
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.0520.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 17:24Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.02$1.00
09-13 17:24Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
09-13 17:23Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-13 17:23Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
09-13 17:23Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
09-13 17:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.0519999979$1.00
09-13 17:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
Trader 0x492f8a2af43fffef6ba9cbc7a9c1b14e97805576 · PolyBot Pro