heyyy24
0x62ba237148edab02f8128141c2ce111a771b569b
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $735.4k
- Markets traded
- 7,728
- Open portfolio
- $285.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,728
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.219Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
- +$917.63at 0.787Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$911.06at 0.223Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
- +$787.28at 0.302Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
- +$702.13at 0.038Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 16:14 | Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 04-27 16:14 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 04-27 16:13 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.03 | $12.00 |
| 04-27 16:10 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $5.66 |
| 04-10 10:13 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.90 |
| 04-10 10:10 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0115789 | $4.17 |
| 04-10 10:09 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $25.40 |
| 04-10 10:09 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $57.63 |
| 04-10 10:06 | Claude 4.7 released by June 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.89 |
| 04-06 18:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.97 |
| 04-06 18:31 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.36 |
| 04-06 18:18 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.0285151515 | $9.41 |
| 04-06 18:17 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 04-06 10:52 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.86 |
| 03-29 15:59 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $32.46 |