PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

heyyy24

0x62ba237148edab02f8128141c2ce111a771b569b

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$735.4k
Markets traded
7,728
Open portfolio
$285.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,728
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No0.4631.000$155.51+$83.57
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5901.000$55.02+$22.56
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.8600.971$38.84+$4.44
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0220.548$25.23+$24.22
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · No0.7501.000$5.00+$1.25
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0450.025$4.60$3.85
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.22$1.34
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$0.17$0.99
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0530.009$0.17$0.87
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$0.15$0.84
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.13$0.88
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0060.001$0.09$1.04
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0220.002$0.07$0.94
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0570.004$0.06$0.96
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.04$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 16:14Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.002$2.00
04-27 16:14Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.002$2.00
04-27 16:13Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.03$12.00
04-27 16:10Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.01$5.66
04-10 10:13Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.002$0.90
04-10 10:10Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.0115789$4.17
04-10 10:09Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.07$25.40
04-10 10:09Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.56$57.63
04-10 10:06Claude 4.7 released by June 30?BUY0.14$4.89
04-06 18:32Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.019$0.97
04-06 18:31Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.008$4.36
04-06 18:18Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0285151515$9.41
04-06 18:17Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.002$4.00
04-06 10:52Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?BUY0.05$1.86
03-29 15:59Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.59$32.46