0xE1D415E4018407E8Ca414a07188BC94c6063A31e-1770257784056
0xe1d415e4018407e8ca414a07188bc94c6063a31e
- Realised P&L
- $835.49
- Volume
- $294.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,672
- Open portfolio
- $16.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,672
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$894.55at 0.200Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$486.28at 0.107Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
- +$386.08at 0.148Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 22?
- +$277.17at 0.148Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
- +$241.67at 0.086Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 03:33 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 06-26 03:33 | Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 06-26 03:33 | Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 06-26 03:32 | Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.934 | $4.67 |
| 06-26 03:32 | Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 06-26 03:32 | Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 06-26 03:32 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 06-26 03:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.92 |
| 06-26 03:32 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.934 | $9.34 |
| 06-26 03:32 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $10.35 |
| 06-20 14:44 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 06-19 19:28 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 06-19 19:06 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 06-19 19:06 | United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.24 | $2.23 |
| 06-19 18:58 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |