PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

projectC

0x82ffcb320b48d0dc603f4c90bc850220775f163a

Realised P&L
$-9.43
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$28.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$20.38+$0.38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19? · No0.4781.000$4.67+$2.44
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? · No0.3701.000$2.70+$1.70
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.2810.025$0.53$5.55
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.1000.029$0.29$0.70
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19? · No0.4510.000$0.00$1.20
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 17:20Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$1.0k
04-27 17:20Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$1.0k
04-27 17:20Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$1.0k
04-18 12:59Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$1.0k
04-18 12:59Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$1.0k
04-18 12:59Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$1.0k
04-18 12:58Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.962$20.00
04-18 12:58Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?BUY0.3599998704$0.91
04-18 12:57Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?BUY0.0439999593$0.90
04-18 12:57Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoBUY0.1$1.00
04-18 12:57Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
04-18 12:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?BUY0.4099999446$1.83
10-05 10:21Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?BUY0.9789999997$55.00
06-28 17:33Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?BUY0.9819999997$51.00
06-28 17:33Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?BUY0.4699999887$5.00