projectC
0x82ffcb320b48d0dc603f4c90bc850220775f163a
- Realised P&L
- $-9.43
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $28.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.981 | $20.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19? · No | 0.478 | 1.000 | $4.67 | +$2.44 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? · No | 0.370 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$1.70 |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.025 | $0.53 | −$5.55 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something | 0.100 | 0.029 | $0.29 | −$0.70 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19? · No | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.64at 0.470Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
- +$3.77at 0.570Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
- +$3.56at 0.360Colts vs. Jets
- +$3.26at 0.380Ravens vs. Steelers
- +$3.12at 0.490Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 50m-75m views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 17:20 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.0k |
| 04-27 17:20 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.0k |
| 04-27 17:20 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.0k |
| 04-18 12:59 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.0k |
| 04-18 12:59 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.0k |
| 04-18 12:59 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.0k |
| 04-18 12:58 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $20.00 |
| 04-18 12:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.91 |
| 04-18 12:57 | Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BUY | 0.0439999593 | $0.90 |
| 04-18 12:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 12:57 | Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $1.83 |
| 10-05 10:21 | Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | BUY | 0.9789999997 | $55.00 |
| 06-28 17:33 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9819999997 | $51.00 |
| 06-28 17:33 | Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |