k126pys
0xaba3283824791c6072776b7fff02da08196c8cca
- Realised P&L
- $4.47
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $43.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.92at 0.087QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
- +$10.00at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
- +$3.67at 0.351Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
- +$3.00at 0.250Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
- +$2.23at 0.310Will Colchester United FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 11:34 | Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.75 |
| 04-15 08:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 08:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 08:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 08:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 08:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 08:47 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 08:44 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 08:40 | S&P 500 all time high by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $0.96 |
| 04-15 08:40 | S&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $1.90 |
| 04-15 08:38 | Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.92 |
| 04-10 16:04 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $0.94 |
| 04-09 16:16 | Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BUY | 0.0334096186 | $0.90 |
| 04-05 19:13 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 04:37 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |