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Traders

k126pys

0xaba3283824791c6072776b7fff02da08196c8cca

Realised P&L
$4.47
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$43.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0851.000$11.77+$10.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · No0.3241.000$9.27+$6.27
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? · Yes0.2201.000$4.55+$3.55
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes0.2451.000$4.07+$3.07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026? · No0.2701.000$3.70+$2.70
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? · Yes0.2801.000$3.57+$2.57
Will Iraq win on 2026-03-31? · Yes0.3771.000$2.65+$1.65
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7100.865$1.22+$0.22
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 6? · Down0.5600.500$0.89−$0.11
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0350.025$0.70−$0.30
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? · Yes0.2200.095$0.43−$0.57
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.028$0.23−$0.77
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? · Yes0.2200.045$0.20−$0.80
Will Braintree Town FC vs. Carlisle United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 11:34Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?SELL0.28$1.75
04-15 08:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
04-15 08:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
04-15 08:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
04-15 08:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
04-15 08:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
04-15 08:47Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?BUY0.25$1.00
04-15 08:44Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?BUY0.25$1.00
04-15 08:40S&P 500 all time high by May 31, 2026?BUY0.55$0.96
04-15 08:40S&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026?BUY0.4899999534$1.90
04-15 08:38Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?SELL0.88$2.92
04-10 16:04Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?BUY0.2099998677$0.94
04-09 16:16Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?BUY0.0334096186$0.90
04-05 19:13QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?BUY0.059999946$1.00
04-05 04:37Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
Trader k126pys · PolyBot Pro