PolyBot

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Traders

wg233

0x7b699c06d85f849b16e0fa1feb9448f3d53442cf

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$162.6k
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$4.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 05:43Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?SELL0.9276375$222.63
07-08 04:40Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.8036433333$120.55
06-14 15:00US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?SELL0.4759$95.18
04-10 04:45Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.936$37.18
04-09 18:48Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.23$11.50
04-02 15:19Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?SELL0.828797654$14.13
04-02 15:11Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?SELL0.2$4.00
04-02 15:10Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by June 30?SELL0.031$0.62
04-02 15:10Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?SELL0.43$17.20
04-02 15:10Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?SELL0.86$17.20
03-25 11:39Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?SELL0.962$19.24
03-25 11:39Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?SELL0.2105893333$3.16
03-25 11:38Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?SELL0.17$4.70
03-25 11:36Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?SELL0.85789$34.32
03-25 11:36Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.5381899396$133.74