1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-03-01
Resolves by: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. down 0.075 over the period, from 0.117. Range 0.018 to 0.122. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.062	32	32
0.068	44	76
0.069	62	139
0.072	62	201
0.075	41	242
0.100	166	408
0.143	9	417
0.144	8	425
0.145	5	430
0.460	250	680
0.520	352	1,032
0.525	5	1,037

Spread0.039Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	40	40
0.022	7	47
0.020	140	187
0.019	1,100	1,287
0.018	100	1,387
0.017	40	1,427
0.013	17	1,444
0.012	48	1,492
0.009	6	1,498
0.008	125	1,623
0.006	49	1,672
0.004	465	2,137

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	40	40
0.978	7	47
0.980	140	187
0.981	1,100	1,287
0.982	100	1,387
0.983	40	1,427
0.987	17	1,444
0.988	48	1,492
0.991	6	1,498
0.992	125	1,623
0.994	49	1,672
0.996	465	2,137

Spread0.039Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.938	32	32
0.932	44	76
0.931	62	139
0.928	62	201
0.925	41	242
0.900	166	408
0.857	9	417
0.856	8	425
0.855	5	430
0.540	250	680
0.480	352	1,032
0.475	5	1,037

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xor7	Yes	7,978.26
rocky42023	Yes	801.54
WanderingImpulse	Yes	621.43
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	485.31
Jane99	Yes	464.78
Danstradamus	Yes	459.28
0xBD8AfB40770a3442251234d42102abbD969F2821-1774836452156	Yes	331.6
suntori	Yes	277.06
0x4c3B1CD02cb44cB44a4C08cC219439E88ce49dd5-1767729192474	Yes	235.15
rastoscx	Yes	155
dexproxy1	Yes	145.47
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	130.36
VassanaKlishta	Yes	105.82
timxiaohai	Yes	103.41
tvx	Yes	100
Bska36	Yes	100
Simon4s	Yes	99
RoderickM987	Yes	74.1
2B9S	Yes	73
smithjonasson	Yes	71.43

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:04:39	BUY	No	0.9675367349	71	$68.99
12:11:48	BUY	No	0.9469998288	5	$5.00
23:41:28	SELL	No	0.947	301	$284.95
09:38:18	BUY	Yes	0.0299999999	88	$2.63
09:28:18	BUY	Yes	0.029	139	$4.02
09:28:17	BUY	Yes	0.023	16	$0.37
05:51:26	BUY	Yes	0.0229999999	84	$1.93
10:49:26	BUY	Yes	0.0460038979	43	$2.00
09:56:45	BUY	Yes	0.0208121357	96	$2.00
08:51:08	SELL	Yes	0.013	31	$0.40
08:51:06	BUY	Yes	0.019	105	$2.00
08:13:53	SELL	Yes	0.013	1	$0.01
08:13:45	SELL	Yes	0.013	15	$0.19
08:13:45	BUY	Yes	0.0183765746	109	$2.00
19:20:20	BUY	Yes	0.0179999999	111	$2.00
06:28:52	SELL	No	0.982	53	$51.58
16:09:52	BUY	No	0.987	10	$9.87
17:38:59	SELL	No	0.982	10	$9.82
14:25:46	SELL	No	0.982	4	$4.04
14:25:31	SELL	No	0.984	7	$6.78
14:05:31	SELL	No	0.9849902597	6	$6.07
13:52:14	SELL	No	0.986	14	$13.47
13:27:20	SELL	No	0.986	29	$28.58
13:26:16	BUY	No	0.988	18	$17.78
13:15:17	SELL	No	0.986	16	$15.81