PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tvx

0x76873b801ede80e4a6c1c0e3d0ff06f2922d654b

Realised P&L
$-40.72
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$4.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · Yes0.1970.081$3.35$4.85
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0180.013$1.35$0.45
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7600.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.8100.000$0.00$0.99
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? · No0.7600.000$0.00$3.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$9.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-02 20:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
03-02 20:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
02-27 18:55Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY0.7599999595$3.00
02-23 22:05Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?BUY0.0030343488$1.00
02-23 22:04U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
02-23 22:00Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.0210000001$2.00
02-09 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.8099999757$0.99
02-09 15:52US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.7599999878$10.00
01-30 15:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
01-26 21:49Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
01-26 13:34Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.0439999794$2.00
01-21 19:13Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?BUY0.002$1.00
01-21 17:17Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?BUY0.2307692024$5.00
01-21 17:14Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
01-21 17:12Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.27$2.39