PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rastoscx

0xa12709a12a1af08015297241f83ca150be01d81f

Realised P&L
$54.12
Volume
$69.8k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$273.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 01:15Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?BUY0.002$2.00
04-01 00:17Will "The Matrix" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?BUY0.002$0.02
03-31 22:15Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.004$0.34
03-31 22:04Will "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?BUY0.001$3.00
03-31 20:33Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.002$1.35
03-31 20:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$1.57
03-31 20:22Will Khamenei post 120-139 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.005$0.69
03-31 20:22Will CZ post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.002$0.14
03-31 20:22Will CZ post 120-139 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.002$0.17
03-31 20:22Will Brice Sensabaugh lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.002$2.00
03-31 20:22Will Isaiah Hartenstein lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.002$2.00
03-31 20:22Will "Body to Body - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?BUY0.001$0.01
03-31 20:22Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY0.005$1.67
03-31 20:22Will XRP reach $2.60 in March?BUY0.001$3.00
03-31 20:22Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?BUY0.001$2.42