rastoscx
0xa12709a12a1af08015297241f83ca150be01d81f
- Realised P&L
- $54.12
- Volume
- $69.8k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $273.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.79at 0.005Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$2.76at 0.015Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
- +$1.25at 0.007Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$0.36at 0.017Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$0.35at 0.048Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 01:15 | Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 00:17 | Will "The Matrix" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 03-31 22:15 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.34 |
| 03-31 22:04 | Will "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 03-31 20:33 | Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.35 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.57 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will Khamenei post 120-139 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.69 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will CZ post 120-139 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.17 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will Brice Sensabaugh lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will Isaiah Hartenstein lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will "Body to Body - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.67 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will XRP reach $2.60 in March? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 03-31 20:22 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.42 |