0xBD8AfB40770a3442251234d42102abbD969F2821-1774836452156
0x49d4da3cc6fba333ff76ee70e0b3b807af8e5696
- Realised P&L
- $-15.94
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $31.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.64at 0.922Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
- +$6.75at 0.089Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.23at 0.048Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
- +$5.98at 0.770Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$5.79at 0.184Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 18:32 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.076 | $7.10 |
| 07-08 14:58 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 08:08 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0466512609 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 21:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.152 | $17.47 |
| 07-05 23:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.056 | $1.12 |
| 07-05 22:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999926 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 22:08 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 22:08 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 18:53 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.094541232 | $9.61 |
| 07-03 00:50 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.92 | $185.00 |
| 07-03 00:45 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.0452962463 | $1.68 |
| 07-03 00:43 | Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? | SELL | 0.581 | $7.41 |
| 07-03 00:31 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 18:40 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0689999863 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 17:38 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.4 | $11.11 |