PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBD8AfB40770a3442251234d42102abbD969F2821-1774836452156

0x49d4da3cc6fba333ff76ee70e0b3b807af8e5696

Realised P&L
$-15.94
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$31.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · No0.3730.455$26.81+$4.81
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0170.013$4.65$1.28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.3740.000$0.00$17.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$5.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Ghana (-1.5) · Ghana0.0150.000$0.00$4.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$8.40
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$14.99
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5 · Over0.6400.000$0.00$5.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 18:32Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.076$7.10
07-08 14:58Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
07-08 08:08Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0466512609$10.00
07-07 21:10Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.152$17.47
07-05 23:55Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.056$1.12
07-05 22:10Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999926$10.00
07-05 22:08Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0299999943$5.00
07-05 22:08Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$1.00
07-04 18:53Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?SELL0.094541232$9.61
07-03 00:50Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.92$185.00
07-03 00:451 megaton meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.0452962463$1.68
07-03 00:43Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?SELL0.581$7.41
07-03 00:31Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$5.00
07-01 18:40Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0689999863$5.00
07-01 17:38Will England win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.4$11.11