RoderickM987
0xde708b043d84f98ee964bb1f8af8ed71efd266e7
- Realised P&L
- $-591.66
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $143.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.060 | $60.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.029 | $56.35 | −$293.65 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.013 | $24.30 | −$71.68 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.042 | $3.08 | +$0.87 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.61 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $35.00 |
| 07-11 17:43 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-09 19:41 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0122232481 | $55.00 |
| 07-06 20:35 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.0299999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 20:35 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.027 | $5.40 |
| 07-06 19:03 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.61 |
| 05-11 17:59 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.049325615 | $35.51 |
| 05-11 17:33 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 05-11 17:29 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.0297592443 | $2.21 |
| 04-03 07:36 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.0261393482 | $250.00 |
| 04-02 18:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 20:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999995 | $250.00 |