timxiaohai
0x2c12fa0b2625d5c15d5bb4cac8544a5142c246e7
- Realised P&L
- $-32.57
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.013 | $1.40 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.29at 0.011Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?
- +$-3.36at 0.009Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
- +$-4.87at 0.010Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
- +$-16.62at 0.010Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
- +$-51.99at 0.274Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-14 16:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 01-14 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 01-14 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 01-14 12:16 | Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.80 |
| 01-14 11:40 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.97 |
| 01-13 10:21 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.00988336 | $2.42 |
| 01-13 10:20 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0098665786 | $2.66 |
| 01-13 10:20 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.66 |
| 01-13 10:20 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0097502685 | $2.66 |
| 01-13 10:20 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.54 |
| 01-13 10:20 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.89 |
| 01-13 09:47 | Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.42 |
| 01-13 09:45 | Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.42 |
| 01-12 10:43 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.01 |
| 01-12 10:43 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0175702131 | $1.80 |