PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.029. down 0.456 over the period, from 0.485. Range 0.014 to 0.500. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0506767
0.05160127
0.0541,2001,327
0.0555001,827
0.0561001,927
0.0581002,027
0.0771352,162
0.0786002,762
0.0792002,962
0.0992,2505,212
0.10010,00015,212
0.148815,220

Spread0.038Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01299
0.0111,0551,064
0.010121,076
0.008211,097
0.0074061,503
0.0061,0002,503
0.005222,525
0.0042,5145,039
0.0031,4696,508
0.0022,8289,337
0.00111,27920,615

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98899
0.9891,0551,064
0.990121,076
0.992211,097
0.9934061,503
0.9941,0002,503
0.995222,525
0.9962,5145,039
0.9971,4696,508
0.9982,8289,337
0.99911,27920,615

Spread0.038Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9506767
0.94960127
0.9461,2001,327
0.9455001,827
0.9441001,927
0.9421002,027
0.9231352,162
0.9226002,762
0.9212002,962
0.9012,2505,212
0.90010,00015,212
0.852815,220

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xee67…67a6Yes1,200
RememberAmalekYes1,000
Diplopia2Yes400
0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718Yes124.99
S888Yes109
0x4b80C140cb0dA1AD22E0845ED9a18a238e9688c6-1780253829230Yes85.6
PPMTYes30
0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051Yes29.99
AJSVYes24
FeedLordYes19.99
elsonswYes19.97
MulkernYes19.97
Sandoval1553Yes19.97
ManningsfYes18.98
ButchartYes14.98
PeryperyYes12.08
yueyueynYes5
102catsYes3.68
youtube-traderYes1.45
TanjiroooNo1,535.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:17:01SELLYes0.01230$0.35
14:46:54BUYNo0.98796365121,215$1200.00
02:10:25BUYNo0.98880$79.03
02:10:22BUYNo0.9877$7.36
02:10:19BUYNo0.98645$44.37
02:09:36BUYNo0.98514$13.68
02:09:31BUYNo0.97950$48.95
02:09:28BUYNo0.9787$6.56
02:09:22BUYNo0.977932$911.01
02:09:18BUYNo0.976400$390.40
16:01:02BUYYes0.05841445386$5.00
07:34:49SELLYes0.02368$1.55
21:49:46BUYYes0.059785261830$1.79
14:23:37BUYNo0.979020977215$15.00
13:56:03BUYNo0.9776662119102$100.00
13:41:54BUYNo0.976999999646$45.00
09:26:01BUYYes0.053889850968$3.64
08:36:04BUYNo0.95953562056$5.30
08:35:49BUYNo0.955$4.29
08:35:28BUYNo0.954$4.21
08:35:15BUYNo0.954$4.00
08:35:01BUYNo0.955$4.85
08:13:58BUYNo0.965$5.10
08:13:36BUYNo0.95117555765$4.29
08:13:21BUYNo0.93999999554$4.19