PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

102cats

0x40f222e47e76f7fa9022233237bb03df12e5a57c

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$967.6k
Markets traded
7,254
Open portfolio
$458.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,254
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5) · Weibo Gaming0.0020.475$308.01+$306.71
VfB Stuttgart leading at halftime? · No0.0100.499$95.90+$93.98
Paris FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.0100.499$7.89+$7.73
Will John Hughs advance to the general election for WA-04? · Yes0.0260.353$7.07+$6.54
Orense SC vs. SD Aucas: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over0.0100.495$5.14+$5.03
Will MrBeast hit 522 million subscribers by August 31? · Yes0.0200.130$3.94+$3.34
Paris FC leading at halftime? · Yes0.0100.499$3.46+$3.39
Exact Score: Ceará SC 1 - 3 AA Ponte Preta? · Yes0.0110.244$3.42+$3.27
Exact Score: Ceará SC 3 - 3 AA Ponte Preta? · Yes0.0110.243$3.40+$3.25
Will Elpidia Saavedra advance to the general election for WA-04? · Yes0.0570.479$2.84+$2.51
Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by August 31? · Yes0.0200.085$2.80+$2.14
Exact Score: Ceará SC 0 - 3 AA Ponte Preta? · Yes0.0110.121$1.69+$1.54
Will SpaceX say "Starship" during earnings call? · No0.0300.180$1.62+$1.35
Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by August 31? · Yes0.0110.009$1.47$0.34
Will MrBeast hit 515 million subscribers by August 31? · No0.0200.130$1.33+$1.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:39Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.02$0.16
08-02 05:39Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3?SELL0.02$0.00
08-01 10:11Will SpaceX say "Trump" during earnings call?SELL0.11$0.02
08-01 10:11Will SpaceX say "Cursor" during earnings call?SELL0.06$0.07
07-28 20:24Will CoStar (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.81$1.73
07-28 11:43Will Amazon say "Live Sports" during earnings call?SELL0.3$0.33
07-25 14:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 25?SELL0.031$0.09
07-23 14:42CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: CA Sarmiento O/U 2.5SELL0.021$0.03
07-23 12:34CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 5.5SELL0.014$0.53
07-23 12:34Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group ASELL0.58$0.61
07-22 11:27Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on July 23?SELL0.003$0.07
07-22 11:26Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 24?SELL0.02$0.12
07-22 08:45CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5SELL0.04$0.42
07-22 05:43Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.003$0.02
07-21 19:27Will Athlone Town AFC win on 2026-07-22?SELL0.07$0.90