Manningsf
0x55f7ddec2df36b60be24430edd67a13016d88368
- Realised P&L
- $115.29
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $0.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.032 | $0.60 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.42at 0.952Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)
- +$30.51at 0.951Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)
- +$23.30at 0.950Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)
- +$21.97at 0.962Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)
- +$16.15at 0.973Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 03:32 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | BUY | 0.969 | $465.11 |
| 07-07 09:12 | UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $33.84 |
| 06-03 11:20 | Spread: Israel (-2.5) | BUY | 0.955 | $320.88 |
| 05-12 07:56 | Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.981 | $592.52 |
| 05-12 06:22 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $592.52 |
| 05-11 11:01 | Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5) | BUY | 0.972 | $577.37 |
| 05-11 09:09 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $578.10 |
| 05-09 07:11 | Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5) | BUY | 0.961 | $557.38 |
| 05-09 05:50 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $598.92 |
| 05-08 02:34 | Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.951 | $627.66 |
| 05-08 01:48 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $622.41 |
| 05-07 05:23 | Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $596.60 |
| 05-07 05:19 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $594.99 |
| 05-07 04:00 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $594.38 |
| 04-15 01:08 | Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $20.42 |