PolyBot

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Traders

Manningsf

0x55f7ddec2df36b60be24430edd67a13016d88368

Realised P&L
$115.29
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$0.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30? · Yes0.0500.032$0.60$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 03:32Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?BUY0.969$465.11
07-07 09:12UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.036$33.84
06-03 11:20Spread: Israel (-2.5)BUY0.955$320.88
05-12 07:56Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)BUY0.981$592.52
05-12 06:22Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.981$592.52
05-11 11:01Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)BUY0.972$577.37
05-11 09:09Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?BUY0.94$578.10
05-09 07:11Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)BUY0.961$557.38
05-09 05:50Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.966$598.92
05-08 02:34Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)BUY0.951$627.66
05-08 01:48Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?BUY0.971$622.41
05-07 05:23Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)BUY0.95$596.60
05-07 05:19Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?SELL0.977$594.99
05-07 04:00Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?BUY0.976$594.38
04-15 01:08Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?SELL0.96$20.42