PolyBot

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Traders

Sandoval1553

0x493cef47ca12db5c08fb55747d6cd279ebdb953e

Realised P&L
$-100.85
Volume
$219.6k
Markets traded
553
Open portfolio
$499.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded553
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.9750.985$196.90+$1.90
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.600$60.00$20.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2500.205$41.00$9.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5500.565$22.60+$0.60
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes0.6500.885$17.70+$4.70
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.7400.880$17.60+$2.80
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.2700.260$15.60$0.60
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6900.685$13.70$0.10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6000.620$12.40+$0.40
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.4500.275$11.00$7.00
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.027$10.80$4.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5930.335$10.05$7.75
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8640.872$8.72+$0.08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3950.161$8.03$11.72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.400$8.00$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 01:40Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$2.50
09-13 01:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.55$22.00
09-13 01:25Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$13.80
09-13 01:20Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.975$175.50
09-13 01:17Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.975$19.50
09-12 00:22Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.56$16.80
09-12 00:22Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.56$11.20
09-12 00:19US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.029$1.58
09-11 00:20Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0105382$1.05
09-11 00:17Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.74$14.80
09-10 23:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.2031631582$40.63
09-10 18:19Will Union Centriste have the most seats after the French Senate Election?SELL0.004$0.04
09-10 18:19Will SER have the most seats after the French Senate Election?SELL0.003$0.03
09-10 18:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$10.80
09-10 18:14Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.925$18.50