Sandoval1553
0x493cef47ca12db5c08fb55747d6cd279ebdb953e
- Realised P&L
- $-91.79
- Volume
- $221.2k
- Markets traded
- 554
- Open portfolio
- $22.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded554
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.00at 0.611US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$407.61at 0.805Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$192.34at 0.808Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
- +$167.50at 0.606US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$154.00at 0.150Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:01 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 22:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.442 | $44.20 |
| 10-11 21:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 21:59 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 10-11 21:59 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.895 | $8.95 |
| 10-11 21:59 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $7.20 |
| 10-11 21:59 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 10-11 21:58 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.108 | $1.44 |
| 10-11 21:58 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.159 | $1.59 |
| 10-11 21:58 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 21:57 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-11 21:57 | Will Trump Airport become law this year? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 10-11 21:57 | Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year? | SELL | 0.066 | $2.17 |
| 10-11 21:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 10-11 21:57 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.126 | $6.30 |