Sandoval1553
0x493cef47ca12db5c08fb55747d6cd279ebdb953e
- Realised P&L
- $-100.85
- Volume
- $219.6k
- Markets traded
- 553
- Open portfolio
- $499.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded553
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.00at 0.611US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$407.61at 0.805Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$192.34at 0.808Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
- +$167.50at 0.606US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$154.00at 0.150Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 01:40 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-13 01:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 09-13 01:25 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-13 01:20 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $175.50 |
| 09-13 01:17 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 09-12 00:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 09-12 00:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-12 00:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $1.58 |
| 09-11 00:20 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0105382 | $1.05 |
| 09-11 00:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-10 23:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.2031631582 | $40.63 |
| 09-10 18:19 | Will Union Centriste have the most seats after the French Senate Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 09-10 18:19 | Will SER have the most seats after the French Senate Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-10 18:14 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $10.80 |
| 09-10 18:14 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.925 | $18.50 |