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0x4b80C140cb0dA1AD22E0845ED9a18a238e9688c6-1780253829230

0x4b80c140cb0da1ad22e0845ed9a18a238e9688c6

Realised P&L
$-40.92
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$1.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5? · Yes0.1350.020$1.49$8.51
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$4.00
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 10? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4AM ET · Down0.0340.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? · Down0.2700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00$0.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$9.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$15.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$1.68
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$2.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of July 27 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 04:38S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5?BUY0.1346153735$10.00
07-29 17:17Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.0749999325$1.00
07-29 17:16Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
07-15 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
07-15 12:56Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15?BUY0.05$1.00
07-15 12:53Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.57$3.35
07-15 00:24Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.91$2.27
07-14 20:29Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
07-14 20:29Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8$2.00
07-14 20:29Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6799999637$3.00
07-14 20:26Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.9$0.97
07-14 20:25Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.508$4.38
07-14 20:25Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.33$0.46
07-14 20:25Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.18$0.55
07-14 20:23Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.265$0.87
Trader 0x4b80C140cb0dA1AD22E0845ED9a18a238e9688c6-1780253829230 · PolyBot