0x4b80C140cb0dA1AD22E0845ED9a18a238e9688c6-1780253829230
0x4b80c140cb0da1ad22e0845ed9a18a238e9688c6
- Realised P&L
- $-40.92
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $1.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.13at 0.509US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$27.08at 0.689US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$9.57at 0.555US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.34at 0.365Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
- +$6.53at 0.649Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:38 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5? | BUY | 0.1346153735 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 17:17 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 17:16 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 12:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 12:53 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.35 |
| 07-15 00:24 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.27 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 20:26 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.97 |
| 07-14 20:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.508 | $4.38 |
| 07-14 20:25 | Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.46 |
| 07-14 20:25 | Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.55 |
| 07-14 20:23 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.265 | $0.87 |