PolyBot

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Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.970. Unchanged over the period, from 0.970. Range 0.959 to 0.976. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97055
0.9717176
0.972352428
0.973300728
0.9744051,133
0.9755881,721
0.9764,5486,269
0.9771,7558,024
0.9781008,124
0.9792,39110,515
0.9805,63016,145
0.9816,71822,863

Spread0.001Mid0.970

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.969350350
0.967207557
0.9666611,218
0.9658782,096
0.9642,6004,696
0.96310,98215,678
0.9623,04118,718
0.9611,61420,332
0.9601,66621,998
0.9598,47730,475
0.9583,13433,609
0.9573,10036,709

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.031350350
0.033207557
0.0346611,218
0.0358782,096
0.0362,6004,696
0.03710,98215,678
0.0383,04118,718
0.0391,61420,332
0.0401,66621,998
0.0418,47730,475
0.0423,13433,609
0.0433,10036,709

Spread0.001Mid0.030

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03055
0.0297176
0.028352428
0.027300728
0.0264051,133
0.0255881,721
0.0244,5486,269
0.0231,7558,024
0.0221008,124
0.0212,39110,515
0.0205,63016,145
0.0196,71822,863

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TheReturnOfDarthMaulYes643,512.11
fed26Yes262,634.73
strategy1.2Yes67,451.79
0xe617…f251Yes56,179.83
ratehikesYes47,035.35
nadaYes37,334.8
dwpokerYes33,213.62
hippokaYes30,421.8
akimbogodYes30,105.11
hawkjYes29,262.39
FoldingKeeneYes28,410.97
taut-dogwoodYes26,958.12
forgetfuldoryYes20,197.55
0xheavy888Yes19,999.98
phdcapitalYes19,999.96
joy2theworldYes15,000
iraa3Yes14,826.07
StanleyHoYes12,865.77
air4Yes12,820.42
BetttttttttnnYes12,148.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:29:04BUYYes0.978$7.77
20:29:04BUYYes0.9722$21.33
20:29:01BUYYes0.966413$398.67
20:29:01BUYYes0.969250$48.46
20:19:39SELLYes0.9655$4.72
20:19:22BUYYes0.96599986815$4.73
20:19:09BUYYes0.965999999861$58.87
19:41:01BUYYes0.9659999716$5.79
19:41:01BUYYes0.9659996843$2.69
19:07:09SELLYes0.9658$7.33
18:55:52SELLYes0.9688563099600$581.56
18:55:52BUYNo0.034540229987$3.01
18:45:07BUYYes0.9716$5.84
18:25:12BUYYes0.970999971230$28.92
18:24:48BUYYes0.97099997714$3.81
18:24:31BUYYes0.97099997714$3.81
18:23:21BUYYes0.9709999854$3.75
18:22:48BUYYes0.97053321444$3.89
18:22:19BUYYes0.96999999754$3.92
18:21:48BUYYes0.96999999754$3.95
18:20:21BUYYes0.96999984484$4.00
18:05:51BUYYes0.9710$9.70
17:44:03BUYYes0.96999989163$3.22
17:11:40SELLNo0.03134$1.05
17:11:12BUYYes0.9696$5.85