Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.948. up 0.018 over the period, from 0.929. Range 0.926 to 0.949. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.949	2,439	2,439
0.950	3,394	5,833
0.951	1,466	7,300
0.952	5	7,305
0.954	1,500	8,805
0.955	1,637	10,442
0.956	225	10,667
0.957	20	10,687
0.958	1,100	11,787
0.959	4,283	16,070
0.960	18,391	34,461
0.961	110	34,571

Spread0.002Mid0.948

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.947	315	315
0.946	6,655	6,970
0.945	1,355	8,325
0.940	1,909	10,234
0.939	4,150	14,384
0.938	3,000	17,384
0.937	2,527	19,911
0.935	4,100	24,011
0.933	105	24,116
0.932	740	24,856
0.930	158	25,014
0.928	1,298	26,312

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.053	315	315
0.054	6,655	6,970
0.055	1,355	8,325
0.060	1,909	10,234
0.061	4,150	14,384
0.062	3,000	17,384
0.063	2,527	19,911
0.065	4,100	24,011
0.067	105	24,116
0.068	740	24,856
0.070	158	25,014
0.072	1,298	26,312

Spread0.002Mid0.052

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.051	2,439	2,439
0.050	3,394	5,833
0.049	1,466	7,300
0.048	5	7,305
0.046	1,500	8,805
0.045	1,637	10,442
0.044	225	10,667
0.043	20	10,687
0.042	1,100	11,787
0.041	4,283	16,070
0.040	18,391	34,461
0.039	110	34,571

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheReturnOfDarthMaul	Yes	593,512.12
fed26	Yes	262,621.26
strategy1.2	Yes	67,418.42
0xe617…f251	Yes	56,179.83
plumbis	Yes	40,599.81
ratehikes	Yes	39,282.54
nada	Yes	37,334.8
akimbogod	Yes	36,105.11
dwpoker	Yes	33,213.62
hippoka	Yes	30,421.8
hawkj	Yes	30,202.39
FoldingKeene	Yes	28,410.97
simpleman	Yes	21,992.64
0xheavy888	Yes	19,999.98
phdcapital	Yes	19,999.96
Cbs710	Yes	19,718.06
justme003	Yes	18,394.43
bosshog	Yes	17,500.5
joy2theworld	Yes	15,000
Tenebrus7	Yes	12,872.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:53:06	SELL	Yes	0.947	1	$0.99
02:53:01	SELL	Yes	0.947	11	$10.45
02:52:45	BUY	Yes	0.9489998017	1	$1.00
02:52:40	BUY	Yes	0.9489999969	11	$10.47
02:50:10	SELL	Yes	0.947	1	$0.99
02:50:07	SELL	Yes	0.947	11	$10.45
02:49:57	BUY	Yes	0.9489998017	1	$1.00
02:49:52	BUY	Yes	0.9489999969	11	$10.47
02:49:34	SELL	No	0.051	44	$2.25
02:47:21	SELL	Yes	0.947	11	$10.45
02:47:07	BUY	Yes	0.9489999969	11	$10.47
02:44:13	SELL	Yes	0.947	11	$10.45
02:43:49	BUY	Yes	0.9489999969	11	$10.47
02:21:57	SELL	Yes	0.9479584	50	$47.40
02:21:57	SELL	Yes	0.948	13	$12.77
02:21:57	SELL	Yes	0.948	50	$47.40
02:21:54	SELL	Yes	0.948	1,184	$1121.96
01:59:33	BUY	Yes	0.9489999818	5	$5.00
00:32:55	BUY	No	0.0515951455	1,559	$80.46
00:32:54	BUY	No	0.052	126	$6.55
00:28:39	SELL	Yes	0.949	5	$5.08
00:20:24	SELL	Yes	0.949	5	$5.08
00:16:07	SELL	No	0.0509181249	46	$2.36
23:12:48	SELL	Yes	0.948	26	$24.21
22:18:27	BUY	No	0.053	11	$0.58