Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.491. up 0.263 over the period, from 0.228. Range 0.220 to 0.565. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.563	5	5
0.568	20	25
0.598	10	35
0.599	141	176
0.600	793	969
0.621	5	974
0.655	45	1,019
0.656	45	1,064
0.657	30	1,094
0.662	10	1,104
0.672	13	1,117
0.682	16	1,133

Spread0.144Mid0.491

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.419	50	50
0.410	5	55
0.396	200	255
0.392	200	455
0.322	20	475
0.312	65	540
0.299	60	600
0.265	9	609
0.250	5	614
0.182	40	654
0.181	30	684
0.103	8	692

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.581	50	50
0.590	5	55
0.604	200	255
0.608	200	455
0.678	20	475
0.688	65	540
0.701	60	600
0.735	9	609
0.750	5	614
0.818	40	654
0.819	30	684
0.897	8	692

Spread0.144Mid0.509

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.437	5	5
0.432	20	25
0.402	10	35
0.401	141	176
0.400	793	969
0.379	5	974
0.345	45	1,019
0.344	45	1,064
0.343	30	1,094
0.338	10	1,104
0.328	13	1,117
0.318	16	1,133

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
hippoka	Yes	5,269.73
ratehikes	Yes	4,548.8
DancewithRisk	Yes	3,763.23
podairpod	Yes	1,951.96
bomzh.kolyadun	Yes	1,589.83
0xf52b…bdf5	Yes	1,048.05
tinman2	Yes	1,000
0x1D36756fbAAED1433bF59c80b105396513d82A3b-1771747868231	Yes	704
Deadheadbucky	Yes	653.14
TENETENET	Yes	499.99
cry.eth2	Yes	471.27
howesr1970	Yes	399.99
JotaFoward	Yes	389.96
OkaneKasegu	Yes	381
2B9S	Yes	310.78
AMATEUR	Yes	203.18
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	180.27
chrisanker	Yes	154.3
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
Millhouse2026	Yes	113.35

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:40:00	BUY	Yes	0.5948250176	84	$50.00
19:12:12	BUY	No	0.47	20	$9.40
19:12:12	BUY	No	0.47	10	$4.70
19:12:10	BUY	No	0.47	13	$6.02
18:54:31	BUY	Yes	0.5	11	$5.28
18:54:30	BUY	Yes	0.42156	253	$106.44
18:54:30	BUY	Yes	0.4714038719	560	$264.20
18:28:03	SELL	No	0.5300026383	1,895	$1004.45
18:26:55	SELL	No	0.58	105	$60.80
18:02:54	BUY	Yes	0.42	39	$16.38
18:02:52	BUY	Yes	0.419999999	20	$8.38
18:02:49	BUY	Yes	0.42	1,100	$462.00
18:00:24	BUY	Yes	0.42	1,000	$420.00
15:50:20	BUY	Yes	0.4136556157	48	$20.00
15:44:21	BUY	No	0.6629999596	6	$3.97
15:44:18	BUY	No	0.639	12	$7.67
15:44:18	BUY	No	0.615	1	$0.75
15:44:18	BUY	No	0.615	12	$7.55
15:42:17	SELL	No	0.599	1	$0.36
15:42:00	BUY	No	0.599	5	$3.00
15:40:09	BUY	No	0.6	5	$3.24
15:36:57	BUY	No	0.6	2	$0.95
15:31:42	BUY	No	0.588	4	$2.35
15:31:42	BUY	No	0.588	5	$2.94
15:26:38	BUY	Yes	0.414	13	$5.38

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be… · PolyBot Pro