PolyBot

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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.30. Range 0.27 to 0.33. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2813,94513,945
0.2910,25824,203
0.3043,57267,775
0.3116,99784,772
0.3219,957104,729
0.335,180109,909
0.345,000114,909
0.356,000120,909
0.385,400126,309
0.415,000131,309
0.493,500134,809
0.501,666136,475

Spread0.01Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.271,8201,820
0.2626,17427,994
0.25262,876290,870
0.2468,708359,578
0.231,010360,588
0.201,000361,588
0.18200361,788
0.17500362,288
0.151,814364,102
0.13500364,602
0.124,500369,102
0.106,800375,902

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.731,8201,820
0.7426,17427,994
0.75262,876290,870
0.7668,708359,578
0.771,010360,588
0.801,000361,588
0.82200361,788
0.83500362,288
0.851,814364,102
0.87500364,602
0.884,500369,102
0.906,800375,902

Spread0.01Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7213,94513,945
0.7110,25824,203
0.7043,57267,775
0.6916,99784,772
0.6819,957104,729
0.675,180109,909
0.665,000114,909
0.656,000120,909
0.625,400126,309
0.595,000131,309
0.513,500134,809
0.501,666136,475

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
nigiri99Yes23,230.88
anoin123Yes13,907.03
KimJonEnYes10,782.87
suntoriYes8,852.96
0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aEYes8,420.86
HolyMoses7Yes8,021.17
fanaticoinYes5,000
convictiontrapYes4,457.15
DonationsReceiverYes4,157.36
OnYesYesYes4,000
puravidaYes2,985.99
MikeMooreYes2,890.96
donthackmeYes2,353.58
BiggggggggYes2,218.57
0x49F206Yes2,211.19
iknowdaveyang1Yes2,200
forgetfuldoryYes2,197.38
TBill1Yes2,000
Musk5Yes1,999.99
0x49fb…3914Yes1,998.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:24:55BUYYes0.279999997818$5.00
02:11:14BUYYes0.2853$14.84
02:10:31SELLYes0.271,333$360.00
22:53:14BUYYes0.279999998369$19.34
21:01:49SELLYes0.27207$55.86
20:41:14BUYYes0.2837$10.47
20:41:07BUYNo0.73332$242.22
20:35:35BUYYes0.27999998617$4.80
20:35:32BUYYes0.279999998290$25.11
17:07:32BUYYes0.285$1.40
16:49:29BUYYes0.2850$14.00
16:35:57BUYYes0.2834$9.52
16:04:55BUYYes0.282,063$577.64
15:46:29BUYYes0.279999991829$8.23
15:41:14BUYYes0.2820$5.60
15:41:14BUYYes0.279999984413$3.58
15:41:14BUYYes0.2850$14.00
15:34:11BUYYes0.27999997416$1.73
15:27:58BUYYes0.2799999978107$30.00
15:26:01BUYNo0.7316$11.31
15:24:59BUYYes0.279999997818$5.00
15:24:55BUYYes0.284$1.06
15:24:55BUYYes0.28300$84.00
15:23:40BUYYes0.283,000$840.00
15:16:31BUYNo0.73125$91.25