PolyBot

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.69. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.77. Range 0.69 to 0.79. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.709,3229,322
0.71308,741318,064
0.72349,675667,739
0.731,046,2331,713,971
0.746,1991,720,170
0.755,7701,725,940
0.767,2611,733,201
0.776,3831,739,585
0.785,7761,745,361
0.795,4611,750,822
0.802,9151,753,737
0.8124,3341,778,071

Spread0.01Mid0.69

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6943,93043,930
0.68226,272270,202
0.6723,467293,669
0.6615,298308,967
0.651,097310,064
0.642,360312,424
0.633,897316,321
0.621,217317,538
0.612,017319,555
0.6015,018334,573
0.511,000335,573
0.5030,300365,873

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3143,93043,930
0.32226,272270,202
0.3323,467293,669
0.3415,298308,967
0.351,097310,064
0.362,360312,424
0.373,897316,321
0.381,217317,538
0.392,017319,555
0.4015,018334,573
0.491,000335,573
0.5030,300365,873

Spread0.01Mid0.30

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.309,3229,322
0.29308,741318,064
0.28349,675667,739
0.271,046,2331,713,971
0.266,1991,720,170
0.255,7701,725,940
0.247,2611,733,201
0.236,3831,739,585
0.225,7761,745,361
0.215,4611,750,822
0.202,9151,753,737
0.1924,3341,778,071

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
CDAP1Yes256,962.24
ratehikesYes245,805.46
TheReturnOfDarthMaulYes179,969.61
MysticFindYes53,000
Z6rP9nX3Vq8K1mYes51,314.2
simplemanYes48,490.35
chunqiuYes39,999.98
MisTKyYes28,107.88
GoldmanSachsYes15,912.34
oral.kite5633Yes15,000
TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengardYes12,978.77
KimJonEnYes11,362.42
polmarke195Yes10,929.69
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396Yes10,004.28
Contestable-ParfaitYes9,276.62
gaven-willwinYes8,533.48
can111Yes8,400
LongAndWindingRoadYes6,653.85
KennetteYes6,602.68
nonkenny90Yes6,575.15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:45:33BUYYes0.71,000$700.00
23:37:10BUYYes0.78$5.60
23:37:10BUYYes0.714$10.14
23:37:09BUYYes0.729$20.29
23:37:06SELLYes0.712,878$9014.57
23:37:06BUYNo0.309999999289$89.60
23:34:09BUYYes0.713,000$2130.00
23:20:30BUYYes0.709999981514$10.00
23:14:09BUYYes0.70999985091$1.00
22:36:09BUYYes0.70999996718$5.61
20:48:30BUYYes0.70999985091$1.00
19:20:58BUYNo0.29999998647$2.21
18:45:18BUYYes0.711,847$1311.16
18:28:57BUYYes0.709999995342$30.00
17:39:55BUYYes0.709999998141$100.00
17:39:15BUYYes0.709999981514$10.00
17:10:07SELLNo0.29100$29.00
16:44:07BUYYes0.70999985091$1.00
15:45:21BUYYes0.70999997027$5.00
15:18:54BUYNo0.299999994719$5.69
15:09:33SELLYes0.790$63.00
15:06:58BUYYes0.71100$71.00
14:52:00BUYYes0.709999981514$10.00
14:40:42BUYNo0.29999999433$10.00
14:18:15BUYYes0.70999999557$4.78