Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.033. Unchanged over the period, from 0.033. Range 0.033 to 0.105. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.033	20	20
0.061	30	50
0.101	258	308
0.102	5	313
0.104	49	362
0.260	24	386
0.488	5	391
0.489	50	441
0.490	250	691
0.549	80	771
0.550	354	1,125
0.589	30	1,155

Spread0.001Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	54	54
0.030	52	106
0.028	1,016	1,123
0.027	235	1,358
0.010	40	1,398
0.009	180	1,578
0.008	1,483	3,061
0.007	3,037	6,098
0.006	250	6,348
0.005	375	6,723
0.004	469	7,192
0.003	766	7,957

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	54	54
0.970	52	106
0.972	1,016	1,123
0.973	235	1,358
0.990	40	1,398
0.991	180	1,578
0.992	1,483	3,061
0.993	3,037	6,098
0.994	250	6,348
0.995	375	6,723
0.996	469	7,192
0.997	766	7,957

Spread0.001Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.967	20	20
0.939	30	50
0.899	258	308
0.898	5	313
0.896	49	362
0.740	24	386
0.512	5	391
0.511	50	441
0.510	250	691
0.451	80	771
0.450	354	1,125
0.411	30	1,155

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Obiviouslynotaninsider	Yes	324.34
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	258
0x75d1…90da	Yes	105
0xd684…94c0	Yes	95.81
69dsfs	Yes	82.09
welcometohell	Yes	65.35
LornaPredicts	Yes	55
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	49.17
thisjustdoesntfeelright	Yes	45.97
prawnsforme	Yes	41.89
0xed5b…8e60	Yes	31.43
crossFiter	Yes	30
PPMT	Yes	28.82
Chrissistar04	Yes	28
shwanhk123	Yes	26
AJSV	Yes	25.3
0x01ec…7031	Yes	24
0x1947…f00a	Yes	24
0x1f73…1197	Yes	24
0x1ffa…2b77	Yes	24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:30:00	SELL	Yes	0.03125	40	$1.25
22:31:30	SELL	No	0.9621469336	70	$67.77
19:22:16	SELL	Yes	0.028	20	$0.56
17:17:07	SELL	Yes	0.037	16	$0.60
05:10:10	SELL	Yes	0.0371442	50	$1.86
11:04:37	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
11:04:19	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
10:47:15	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
10:46:57	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
10:31:46	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
10:31:25	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
10:17:01	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
10:16:48	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
10:01:49	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
10:01:24	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
09:49:18	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
09:49:01	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
09:38:55	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
09:38:34	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
09:36:04	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
09:35:46	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
09:32:55	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
09:32:39	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73
09:30:10	SELL	No	0.961	5	$4.72
09:29:55	BUY	No	0.9619999939	5	$4.73