Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.059 over the period, from 0.077. Range 0.015 to 0.083. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	9	9
0.027	34	43
0.028	23	66
0.029	91	157
0.050	1,000	1,157
0.129	151	1,308
0.189	223	1,532
0.190	1	1,533
0.390	250	1,783
0.450	347	2,130
0.510	389	2,519
0.539	100	2,619

Spread0.016Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	32	32
0.009	147	180
0.008	318	498
0.007	358	856
0.006	1,114	1,970
0.004	36	2,005
0.003	236	2,241
0.002	1,112	3,354
0.001	14,632	17,986

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	32	32
0.991	147	180
0.992	318	498
0.993	358	856
0.994	1,114	1,970
0.996	36	2,005
0.997	236	2,241
0.998	1,112	3,354
0.999	14,632	17,986

Spread0.016Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	9	9
0.973	34	43
0.972	23	66
0.971	91	157
0.950	1,000	1,157
0.871	151	1,308
0.811	223	1,532
0.810	1	1,533
0.610	250	1,783
0.550	347	2,130
0.490	389	2,519
0.461	100	2,619

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	400.66
Obiviouslynotaninsider	Yes	324.34
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	223.3
polikstoproc	Yes	174.77
0x75d1…90da	Yes	105
0xd684…94c0	Yes	95.81
95dfs	Yes	90.37
welcometohell	Yes	65.35
crossFiter	Yes	63
LornaPredicts	Yes	55
V4grant	Yes	47.44
thisjustdoesntfeelright	Yes	34.48
0xed5b…8e60	Yes	31.43
shwanhk123	Yes	26
PPMT	Yes	25.05
0x01ec…7031	Yes	24
0x1947…f00a	Yes	24
0x1f73…1197	Yes	24
0x1ffa…2b77	Yes	24
0x27b0…e2c0	Yes	24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:44:00	BUY	Yes	0.01	137	$1.37
02:43:57	BUY	No	0.9838240741	119	$116.88
02:43:33	BUY	No	0.982	1	$1.01
02:43:31	BUY	No	0.9614265242	82	$79.16
03:16:13	BUY	Yes	0.054	20	$1.09
03:06:10	BUY	Yes	0.053	9	$0.47
19:55:10	BUY	No	0.9572152356	51	$48.79
17:41:49	SELL	No	0.945	11	$10.11
17:40:43	SELL	No	0.945	2	$1.63
17:40:10	SELL	No	0.9500356582	172	$163.32
16:41:23	BUY	No	0.988	2	$1.71
16:41:22	SELL	No	0.97	5	$4.85
16:41:22	SELL	No	0.97	5	$4.85
16:41:17	SELL	No	0.98	26	$25.49
16:41:08	BUY	No	0.9722051334	198	$192.42
00:27:59	BUY	No	0.9681825233	60	$58.14
12:54:09	BUY	Yes	0.062	10	$0.62
20:11:48	BUY	Yes	0.062	36	$2.24
11:26:39	BUY	Yes	0.062	5	$0.31
13:39:48	BUY	Yes	0.061	5	$0.30
05:35:38	BUY	Yes	0.053	30	$1.59
18:11:17	BUY	No	0.9657162919	141	$136.16
18:37:27	BUY	Yes	0.055	46	$2.55
09:22:46	BUY	Yes	0.04	11	$0.46
15:05:39	BUY	Yes	0.0539999995	20	$1.07