PolyBot

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Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.026. down 0.043 over the period, from 0.069. Range 0.026 to 0.086. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03855
0.0436974
0.044450524
0.045450974
0.046301,004
0.047621,066
0.050241,090
0.0651,7432,833
0.0666753,508
0.0673,0006,508
0.0681,0007,508
0.0697818,289

Spread0.023Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0154040
0.0141,1851,225
0.0134001,625
0.0121261,751
0.0116,0757,827
0.0102,25010,077
0.0093,40313,480
0.0083,84017,320
0.0074,60521,925
0.0066,72728,652
0.0057,38536,036
0.00410,32546,361

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9854040
0.9861,1851,225
0.9874001,625
0.9881261,751
0.9896,0757,827
0.9902,25010,077
0.9913,40313,480
0.9923,84017,320
0.9934,60521,925
0.9946,72728,652
0.9957,38536,036
0.99610,32546,361

Spread0.023Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96255
0.9576974
0.956450524
0.955450974
0.954301,004
0.953621,066
0.950241,090
0.9351,7432,833
0.9346753,508
0.9333,0006,508
0.9321,0007,508
0.9317818,289

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
junypchomeYes9,703.57
LZ.01Yes5,000
0xMillyYes4,943.06
0xdCDdf0C728624b76B2955c04cDe35cC38f5173A5-1772781776054Yes3,905.5
0xB1973A4c1edA59307dBC495a4BC384f77cDe6968-1780833529951Yes3,500
t57vk6tx8rwbYes2,788.89
HerrieDavisYes2,097.84
duryaekimYes1,928.63
0xE4de06E06559AFc86235344DC33B316Cf2D6A93d-1777318092647Yes1,499.98
singaporeslingYes1,497.04
jacoboliverYes1,461.97
shaoqi767Yes1,164.42
suntoriYes1,133.63
0x8E05289f870a6517bf7fd5faF5381488539e5933-1769639452634Yes1,095.02
frozenriverYes1,000
Zzzz87Yes1,000
keyerYes876.83
LornaPredictsYes800
goodgoblinYes780
HyperlongYes721.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:16:15SELLNo0.9581$1.03
21:16:15SELLYes0.02779492898,054$223.87
15:59:07BUYNo0.96799998842$2.00
13:49:45BUYNo0.96799999424$4.00
00:58:28BUYNo0.968103$99.70
00:40:39BUYNo0.96083963581,465$1407.91
00:31:43SELLYes0.03911164642,234$87.36
22:36:06BUYNo0.95338$35.89
19:34:42BUYNo0.9521878786105$100.00
15:44:13SELLYes0.048610880226$1.29
08:49:18BUYYes0.0645172657217$14.00
08:33:36SELLYes0.0590$0.00
08:00:07SELLYes0.05925$1.46
07:45:52BUYNo0.9462$1.89
07:45:49BUYYes0.0532883836121$6.45
03:46:37SELLYes0.0438090452199$8.72
03:35:25BUYNo0.9498120654106$101.08
01:50:24SELLNo0.9395$5.06
01:45:51BUYNo0.9280729342131$121.52
01:45:51BUYNo0.9348766914308$288.10
19:36:15BUYNo0.9121,649$1503.83
19:35:04SELLYes0.088100$8.80
19:34:45SELLYes0.088100$8.80
19:34:40BUYNo0.91237$34.10
19:34:40BUYNo0.91248$43.48