PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.43 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.07 to 0.50. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.077171
0.0891163
0.09140303
0.1016319
0.1420339
0.15267606
0.1635641
0.178649
0.1830679
0.1970749
0.2240789
0.23110899

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06121121
0.05114235
0.04120355
0.03425780
0.0250830
0.01110940

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94121121
0.95114235
0.96120355
0.97425780
0.9850830
0.99110940

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.937171
0.9291163
0.91140303
0.9016319
0.8620339
0.85267606
0.8435641
0.838649
0.8230679
0.8170749
0.7840789
0.77110899

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes280.72
ppyiagoYes71.42
GA6300BDYes40.1
youtube-traderYes21.03
NotAnIdiotYes7.37
haouibaoYes5
KiruaTradingNo173.4
0xa5ef…2966No123.24
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836No49.5
Gemini123No33.44
gfdgfvfvssddNo28
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433No13.88
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No4.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:15:48SELLYes0.060$0.01
13:27:56BUYNo0.929999996612$11.09
12:21:18SELLYes0.0820$1.60
12:21:14BUYNo0.940$36.09
09:50:36BUYYes0.139$1.17
09:23:26BUYYes0.115$0.55
09:18:38BUYYes0.109999996718$2.03
09:17:59BUYYes0.119999999471$8.57
09:17:57BUYNo0.8329$23.68
09:09:18BUYYes0.159950124740$6.41
00:16:56SELLYes0.0820$1.60
00:16:32BUYNo0.9150$45.05
18:27:51BUYNo0.889999967614$12.35
15:22:26BUYYes0.089999996313$1.21
14:53:13BUYNo0.9120$18.20
14:51:55BUYNo0.8650$43.00
07:32:33BUYYes0.1099999999170$18.68
07:32:32BUYYes0.1720$3.40
07:32:32BUYYes0.1116$1.74
23:01:11BUYYes0.1120$2.20
19:42:53BUYNo0.8551$43.38