PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.006. down 0.123 over the period, from 0.130. Range 0.005 to 0.285. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0106969
0.0192494
0.02029122
0.02416139
0.02927166
0.03017183
0.03813196
0.03984280
0.040104383
0.14840423
0.14920443
0.15210453

Spread0.007Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0034040
0.001250290

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9974040
0.999250290

Spread0.007Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9906969
0.9812494
0.98029122
0.97616139
0.97127166
0.97017183
0.96213196
0.96184280
0.960104383
0.85240423
0.85120443
0.84810453

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes868.73
jackli003Yes115.18
ppyiagoYes72.35
TheJewishHammerYes60
2B9SYes50.18
.MentheYes50
0x64B2Df86320431478146E55fbBD10C012502a9f8-1776646852678Yes49.99
NotAnIdiotYes47.42
splogdesYes20.77
tinyyyyy1Yes20
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
luciebotYes5.01
triklozoidYes5
KiruaTradingNo480
0xa5ef…2966No393.3
YesHerrNo300.3
pomktstableNo180.18
gotonetry33No20
PeruvianMenacyNo5.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:18:40BUYNo0.99960$60.00
01:03:35BUYNo0.99960$60.00
00:48:34BUYNo0.99960$60.00
22:11:52BUYYes0.01210$2.10
21:30:10SELLNo0.9920$19.80
20:33:02BUYNo0.99103$101.49
20:32:46BUYNo0.995$4.95
20:32:46BUYNo0.9921$20.79
20:32:34BUYNo0.9865810$9.87
20:32:34BUYNo0.9845$44.57
20:32:22BUYNo0.985$5.00
20:32:14BUYNo0.964444444445$43.40
20:27:20BUYNo0.9619$18.50
18:54:50BUYYes0.09400$36.00
18:13:07BUYYes0.129999998621$2.70
18:11:59BUYYes0.129999995728$3.65
18:02:44BUYNo0.8423$19.02
18:02:43BUYNo0.8452$43.71
18:02:43BUYNo0.8410$8.40
18:02:31BUYNo0.838$6.64
22:43:11SELLNo0.8312$10.29
22:42:05BUYYes0.1712$2.11
22:42:05BUYYes0.1712$2.11
22:42:05BUYYes0.1750$8.50
14:19:44BUYNo0.8520$17.00