PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.576. up 0.501 over the period, from 0.075. Range 0.038 to 0.673. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6111313
0.6124154
0.6702074
0.68930104
0.70510114
0.70910124
0.73440164
0.73520184
0.76915199
0.770510709
0.77110719
0.779100819

Spread0.067Mid0.578

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5442727
0.5434067
0.5422188
0.54161148
0.540420568
0.53623591
0.36133624
0.15525649
0.0606656
0.05917673
0.057166838
0.0568921,730

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4562727
0.4574067
0.4582188
0.45961148
0.460420568
0.46423591
0.63933624
0.84525649
0.9406656
0.94117673
0.943166838
0.9448921,730

Spread0.067Mid0.422

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3891313
0.3884154
0.3302074
0.31130104
0.29510114
0.29110124
0.26640164
0.26520184
0.23115199
0.230510709
0.22910719
0.221100819

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
KiruaTradingYes952.9
Helldiver015Yes196.7
NotAnIdiotYes135.21
0xSPBBYes80.5
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes71.09
0x2A649050794b55b35AaD5e79425601EaCF001dFd-1762455428758Yes70
tradetosurvive1Yes60
Tallguy2527Yes40
sdssdsYes40
2B9SYes36.18
givemethebucksYes31.8
sw1shYes23
rocky42019Yes20
myhausYes5.77
Alfonso910616Yes1.29
Gemini456No944.72
0xa5ef…2966No441.4
AJSVNo165.1
ppyiagoNo87.16
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836No32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:17:03SELLYes0.57420$11.48
09:02:03SELLYes0.59420$11.88
08:54:13BUYNo0.386134$51.71
08:52:03SELLYes0.61420$12.28
08:42:03SELLYes0.61520$12.30
08:38:33BUYNo0.38420$7.68
08:32:04SELLYes0.61520$12.30
08:22:03SELLYes0.61420$12.28
08:12:03SELLYes0.61520$12.30
08:02:03SELLYes0.61520$12.30
07:52:03SELLYes0.61520$12.30
07:42:03SELLYes0.61820$12.36
07:32:03SELLYes0.61820$12.36
07:22:03BUYNo0.38420$7.68
07:22:03SELLYes0.61520$12.30
07:12:03SELLYes0.61420$12.28
07:02:03SELLYes0.61420$12.28
06:28:39BUYYes0.6320$12.60
06:28:39SELLNo0.387692307765$25.20
04:52:43BUYYes0.6520$13.00
04:26:16BUYYes0.628999995932$20.00
03:57:07SELLYes0.4746$3.01
03:52:07SELLYes0.474100$47.40
03:47:09SELLYes0.4748$3.79
03:47:06SELLYes0.4752891100$47.53