Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.194. up 0.138 over the period, from 0.056. Range 0.037 to 0.281. 162 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.201	48	48
0.202	20	68
0.220	420	488
0.229	20	508
0.333	25	533
0.334	10	543
0.344	43	586
0.352	20	606
0.354	55	661
0.370	55	716
0.374	21	737
0.375	70	807

Spread0.015Mid0.194

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.186	20	20
0.185	72	92
0.183	22	114
0.171	61	174
0.170	120	294
0.160	300	594
0.006	15	609
0.005	25	634
0.004	20	654
0.003	30	684
0.001	120	804

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.814	20	20
0.815	72	92
0.817	22	114
0.829	61	174
0.830	120	294
0.840	300	594
0.994	15	609
0.995	25	634
0.996	20	654
0.997	30	684
0.999	120	804

Spread0.015Mid0.806

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.799	48	48
0.798	20	68
0.780	420	488
0.771	20	508
0.667	25	533
0.666	10	543
0.656	43	586
0.648	20	606
0.646	55	661
0.630	55	716
0.626	21	737
0.625	70	807

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
joe48691	Yes	258.63
KiruaTrading	Yes	116.86
CryptoOG-846	Yes	48.1
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	Yes	46
splogdes	Yes	16.98
2B9S	Yes	16.18
bjprolo	Yes	10
0xa5ef…2966	No	441.4
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527	No	21
TemuOracle	No	20
0xf528…7e5b	No	20
Hugin-og-Munin	No	5
ppyiago	No	4.52

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:39:09	BUY	Yes	0.185	48	$8.90
05:42:34	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.20
05:42:03	BUY	Yes	0.14	53	$7.40
04:33:39	BUY	Yes	0.148999998	17	$2.53
20:57:50	BUY	Yes	0.1544565217	46	$7.10
20:32:46	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
20:32:46	BUY	No	0.93	21	$19.53
20:32:34	BUY	No	0.929	45	$42.25
20:32:34	BUY	Yes	0.126	10	$1.26
20:27:20	SELL	No	0.8347708	25	$20.87
20:27:16	BUY	Yes	0.1256118328	249	$31.23
18:54:41	SELL	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
18:34:04	BUY	Yes	0.075	8	$0.60
18:02:44	BUY	No	0.99	70	$69.30
18:02:44	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
18:02:43	BUY	No	0.99	5	$4.95
18:02:43	BUY	No	0.99	52	$51.51
18:02:31	BUY	No	0.988	8	$7.90
13:59:33	BUY	Yes	0.03	25	$0.75
23:46:41	BUY	No	0.978	10	$9.78
08:54:37	BUY	No	0.973	10	$9.73