PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.04. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.04 to 0.20. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.101010
0.11400410
0.1520430
0.1730460
0.1830490
0.1981571
0.2181652
0.23230882
0.2472954
0.261341,088
0.29251,113
0.30841,197

Spread0.09Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.016666

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996666

Spread0.09Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.901010
0.89400410
0.8520430
0.8330460
0.8230490
0.8181571
0.7981652
0.77230882
0.7672954
0.741341,088
0.71251,113
0.70841,197

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes151.33
NotAnIdiotYes117.04
ppyiagoYes89.27
2B9SYes46.66
splogdesYes31.61
TheJewishHammerYes25
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes21
Tallguy2527Yes20
preciseploysYes20
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433Yes18.54
Dr.PNLYes3
0xa5ef…2966No441.4
KiruaTradingNo45
gotonetry33No40
a5533No10.3
BottleHeckNo6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:31:37BUYNo0.96$5.40
04:21:57BUYNo0.894444444445$40.25
02:22:18BUYYes0.110$1.03
20:32:46BUYNo0.9121$19.11
20:32:34BUYNo0.9810$9.80
20:32:34BUYNo0.875558487245$39.82
20:27:20BUYNo0.8719$16.76
19:37:43BUYYes0.129999996819$2.41
19:13:40BUYYes0.129999995821$2.77
19:07:14BUYYes0.1314$1.82
18:02:44BUYNo0.985$4.91
18:02:43BUYNo0.9810$9.80
18:02:43BUYNo0.9870$68.60
18:02:43BUYNo0.9852$50.99
18:02:31BUYNo0.93$2.70
18:02:31BUYNo0.98$7.20
16:42:55SELLNo0.8720$17.40
18:34:22BUYNo0.8620$17.20
06:11:12SELLYes0.0420$0.80
06:10:49BUYNo0.9540$38.00