PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.115 over the period, from 0.115. Range 0.001 to 0.150. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0019292
0.26940132
0.27018150
0.27220170
0.27520190
0.2795195
0.29345240
0.29440280
0.436259539
0.439150689
0.46840729
0.61861790

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9999292
0.73140132
0.73018150
0.72820170
0.72520190
0.7215195
0.70745240
0.70640280
0.564259539
0.561150689
0.53240729
0.38261790

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes268.43
2B9SYes180.18
TheJewishHammerYes99.99
ppyiagoYes95.27
NotAnIdiotYes60.79
.MentheYes50
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433Yes28.13
splogdesYes28
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes21
a5533Yes20
TENETENETYes10
future2048Yes10
bjproloYes10
BottleHeckYes6
luciebotYes5.01
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No393.3
YesHerrNo218.23
buyat89No190.53
KiruaTradingNo74.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:51:52SELLNo0.9996$5.99
04:30:00BUYNo0.9928236316207$205.69
04:29:43BUYNo0.9824569299191$187.19
04:21:36BUYYes0.03103$3.09
04:21:22BUYNo0.985$4.95
04:21:21BUYNo0.9720$19.40
01:19:59BUYNo0.926$5.52
21:11:52SELLNo0.9270$64.37
20:32:46BUYNo0.9421$19.74
20:32:34BUYNo0.9710$9.70
20:32:34BUYNo0.954608619245$43.42
20:27:20BUYNo0.9119$17.54
19:43:11BUYYes0.128$2.80
18:48:32BUYNo0.875$4.35
18:48:32SELLYes0.1320$2.60
18:38:05BUYYes0.1420$2.80
18:02:44BUYNo0.871543340452$45.35
18:02:43BUYNo0.977161510135$34.43
18:02:43BUYNo0.8870$61.60
18:02:43BUYNo0.8610$8.60
18:02:31BUYNo0.868$6.88
10:18:45SELLNo0.8720$17.40
10:08:39SELLYes0.1220$2.40
10:08:26BUYNo0.869999999680$70.00
09:37:32SELLNo0.8312$9.67