PolyBot

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Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.006. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006155155
0.0077162
0.01022184
0.01282266
0.0308274
0.09334308
0.09485393
0.09520413
0.1627420
0.16375495
0.16417512
0.16520532

Spread0.005Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001854854

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999854854

Spread0.005Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994155155
0.9937162
0.99022184
0.98882266
0.9708274
0.90734308
0.90685393
0.90520413
0.8387420
0.83775495
0.83617512
0.83520532

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xC5AEdfb4343C0120dA31F0518F327611b6914Cf1-1764611479131Yes302.21
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes150
balthazarYes129.92
donthackmeYes126.38
AJSVYes92.01
Numitus1994Yes82
VonVonaghYes34
jackli003Yes20
Hugin-og-MuninYes15
TENETENETYes10
sanduspaceYes9.55
triklozoidYes5
luciebotYes3.49
mildwindow27Yes2.38
plainfolderYes1
0xa5ef…2966No942.99
cigarettesNo40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:27:41BUYNo0.9999$9.04
02:31:18BUYNo0.9998$7.99
00:55:42BUYNo0.9992$1.83
00:55:41BUYNo0.9998$8.16
21:07:30BUYNo0.9995$5.00
21:07:27BUYNo0.99910$9.99
21:04:11BUYNo0.9995$5.00
21:04:11BUYNo0.9999$8.86
21:04:08BUYNo0.99925$24.98
21:04:08BUYNo0.99910$9.99
21:04:08BUYNo0.99985$84.92
21:04:08BUYNo0.99925$25.27
20:18:41BUYNo0.99920$19.97
20:18:39BUYNo0.9982592593135$134.77
20:18:39BUYNo0.9985$4.99
18:09:41SELLYes0.0025$0.01
12:44:35BUYNo0.99840$39.92
09:25:42BUYNo0.9995$5.00
09:25:42BUYNo0.9995$5.00
09:25:42BUYNo0.99936$35.95
09:25:41BUYNo0.99910$9.99
02:53:35BUYNo0.9995$5.00
17:12:06SELLYes0.00210$0.02
15:41:04BUYNo0.99810$9.98
15:28:58BUYNo0.99810$9.98