0xC5AEdfb4343C0120dA31F0518F327611b6914Cf1-1764611479131
0xc5aedfb4343c0120da31f0518f327611b6914cf1
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $763.2k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $520.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.002Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$106.82at 0.020Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
- +$70.10at 0.012Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$45.12at 0.019Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
- +$38.47at 0.044Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:20 | Will Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 09-30 20:19 | Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.69 |
| 09-13 19:41 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 15:29 | Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.14 |
| 09-10 17:08 | Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.74 |
| 09-06 21:07 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 09-05 04:49 | Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.97 |
| 09-04 04:17 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $14.32 |
| 09-03 20:41 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 09-03 09:14 | Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.56 |
| 09-03 08:25 | Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $5.58 |
| 09-03 08:23 | Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.16 |
| 09-03 08:19 | Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0278888889 | $2.51 |
| 09-03 07:53 | Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0247692308 | $3.22 |
| 08-23 18:34 | Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |