Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-02-01
Resolves by: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.017. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.019. Range 0.016 to 0.021. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	339	339
0.022	126	465
0.023	10	475
0.024	20	495
0.028	464	958
0.029	87	1,046
0.030	645	1,691
0.031	2,055	3,746
0.032	448	4,193
0.041	209	4,402
0.044	1,048	5,450
0.051	421	5,871

Spread0.009Mid0.017

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	27	27
0.011	592	620
0.010	105	725
0.009	6	730
0.005	480	1,210
0.004	694	1,905
0.003	1,033	2,938
0.002	3,686	6,624
0.001	60,441	67,065

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	27	27
0.989	592	620
0.990	105	725
0.991	6	730
0.995	480	1,210
0.996	694	1,905
0.997	1,033	2,938
0.998	3,686	6,624
0.999	60,441	67,065

Spread0.009Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	339	339
0.978	126	465
0.977	10	475
0.976	20	495
0.972	464	958
0.971	87	1,046
0.970	645	1,691
0.969	2,055	3,746
0.968	448	4,193
0.959	209	4,402
0.956	1,048	5,450
0.949	421	5,871

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Whaddaheck	Yes	6,933.11
Tpezaske	Yes	2,222.8
MrDraco	Yes	1,329.85
koninginhetuniverse	Yes	1,047.98
Joebama	Yes	765.99
DualDelta	Yes	739.21
0x3D77a146D6416fAd254a6EdA8b5722A07Ce87786-1771076935726	Yes	560
50cents	Yes	545.48
ljkilian	Yes	406.06
0x898992aC27eE9812f4eB9798784cfa8d594854A8-1767967142821	Yes	358.91
Tenebrus7	Yes	356.71
leectram	Yes	292.59
deckarddroid	Yes	210.17
mantou11	Yes	206.93
Pauliemarkets	Yes	200.29
0x846a72d9969ac68CCD1A5Aa3C3B2fF5b42D88166-1774449436459	Yes	200
0x5533…51ba	Yes	182.85
bitconnect	Yes	150
Dr.PNL	Yes	137.64
BeefDerky	Yes	127.27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:59:57	BUY	No	0.989	20	$19.78
15:59:52	BUY	No	0.989	24	$23.74
15:59:52	SELL	Yes	0.012376	250	$3.09
21:29:48	SELL	Yes	0.016997749	164	$2.79
21:29:27	SELL	Yes	0.022	164	$3.62
16:49:23	SELL	Yes	0.021	19	$0.40
19:33:27	SELL	No	0.971	121	$117.01
19:33:23	SELL	No	0.971	469	$455.58
02:26:21	SELL	Yes	0.02	18	$0.36
19:01:51	SELL	Yes	0.02	240	$4.80
19:01:41	SELL	Yes	0.02	4,395	$87.91
19:01:24	SELL	Yes	0.021006167	846	$17.78
19:01:24	BUY	No	0.98	25	$24.50
12:44:26	SELL	Yes	0.021	55	$1.15
11:54:38	BUY	No	0.9799991964	1	$1.00
02:30:34	SELL	No	0.971	6	$5.72
21:43:07	SELL	No	0.971	96	$93.64
14:38:51	SELL	Yes	0.021	51	$1.08
16:20:42	SELL	Yes	0.028	65	$1.82
13:23:59	BUY	Yes	0.0294	100	$2.94
21:24:50	SELL	Yes	0.018	20	$0.36
10:01:56	SELL	Yes	0.016	18	$0.29
10:01:06	BUY	Yes	0.02	30	$0.60
09:05:15	SELL	Yes	0.017	20	$0.34
09:02:42	BUY	Yes	0.029	31	$0.91