MrDraco
0x7b7a1dd5d0793924884d8c05d654724caf265790
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.080 | $899.22 | −$754.58 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.095 | $164.14 | −$135.86 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.067 | $124.27 | −$110.72 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.100 | $122.86 | −$77.14 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.063 | $83.12 | −$16.88 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.013 | $18.53 | −$81.47 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 22:38 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1142820128 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 22:37 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0834587526 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 22:36 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1627841848 | $200.00 |
| 06-26 22:36 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0786040703 | $200.00 |
| 06-26 22:36 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0751963069 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 17:42 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $8.82 |
| 03-10 20:50 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.42 |
| 03-10 20:48 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $15.70 |
| 03-10 20:47 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $153.00 |
| 03-08 13:01 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $235.55 |
| 03-08 13:01 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 03-08 13:00 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 03-08 13:00 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 03-05 04:08 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.38 |
| 03-05 04:06 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |