PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MrDraco

0x7b7a1dd5d0793924884d8c05d654724caf265790

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$18.8k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1470.080$899.22$754.58
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1740.095$164.14$135.86
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1270.067$124.27$110.72
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1630.100$122.86$77.14
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.0750.063$83.12$16.88
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0700.013$18.53$81.47

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 22:38US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1142820128$100.00
06-26 22:37Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.0834587526$100.00
06-26 22:36Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.1627841848$200.00
06-26 22:36Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.0786040703$200.00
06-26 22:36Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?BUY0.0751963069$100.00
03-12 17:42Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.18$8.82
03-10 20:50Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.17$3.42
03-10 20:48Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.17$15.70
03-10 20:47Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.17$153.00
03-08 13:01Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.18$235.55
03-08 13:01Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.18$18.00
03-08 13:00Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.18$18.00
03-08 13:00Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.18$18.00
03-05 04:08Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.16$7.38
03-05 04:06Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.16$16.00