MrDraco
0x7b7a1dd5d0793924884d8c05d654724caf265790
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $33.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $155.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.055 | $95.03 | −$204.97 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.032 | $38.70 | −$161.30 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.017 | $21.94 | −$78.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-92.60at 0.070Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
- +$-199.14at 0.127Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
- +$-1.6kat 0.148Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:50 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.0031389034 | $35.28 |
| 09-29 11:48 | Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.0054653121 | $7.79 |
| 09-29 11:47 | Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.0203280264 | $37.70 |
| 06-26 22:38 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1142820128 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 22:37 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0834587526 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 22:36 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1627841848 | $200.00 |
| 06-26 22:36 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0786040703 | $200.00 |
| 06-26 22:36 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0751963069 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 17:42 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $8.82 |
| 03-10 20:50 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.42 |
| 03-10 20:48 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $15.70 |
| 03-10 20:47 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $153.00 |
| 03-08 13:01 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $235.55 |
| 03-08 13:01 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 03-08 13:00 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |