PolyBot

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Traders

deckarddroid

0xae587db2beff5d394d506b969e98d6968019666f

Realised P&L
$-38.30
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$207.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8500.966$34.08+$4.08
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8801.000$28.41+$3.41
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · No0.9501.000$26.32+$1.32
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? · No0.9651.000$20.73+$0.73
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8890.977$14.28+$1.28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? · Yes0.3210.205$14.03−$7.97
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes0.6601.000$7.58+$2.58
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · Yes0.7801.000$6.41+$1.41
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7800.942$6.04+$1.04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8300.945$5.69+$0.69
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.8801.000$5.68+$0.68
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? · No0.9201.000$5.43+$0.43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.980$5.32+$0.32
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9550.992$5.19+$0.19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.865$4.86−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-03 20:56Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.886$3.00
03-03 20:54Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?BUY0.9489997533$2.00
03-03 20:51US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.8439997626$3.00
03-03 20:50Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2511627373$3.00
02-16 18:35Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?BUY0.2$2.00
02-13 13:42S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?BUY0.63$1.00
02-13 08:54Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 13?BUY0.92$1.00
02-12 08:40S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?BUY0.76$2.00
02-12 08:38Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
02-12 08:38Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?BUY0.6$1.00
02-12 08:36Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
02-11 13:14Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $215?SELL0.84$2.76
02-11 11:03Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.95$5.00
02-11 11:01Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?BUY0.8599999828$3.00
02-11 06:43Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.7$4.93