deckarddroid
0xae587db2beff5d394d506b969e98d6968019666f
- Realised P&L
- $-38.30
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $207.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.71at 0.680Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
- +$4.57at 0.814Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?
- +$4.06at 0.330Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.926Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?
- +$1.50at 0.400Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 20:56 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.886 | $3.00 |
| 03-03 20:54 | Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31? | BUY | 0.9489997533 | $2.00 |
| 03-03 20:51 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.8439997626 | $3.00 |
| 03-03 20:50 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2511627373 | $3.00 |
| 02-16 18:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 02-13 13:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 08:54 | Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 13? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 02-12 08:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 02-12 08:38 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 02-12 08:38 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 02-12 08:36 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 13:14 | Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $215? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.76 |
| 02-11 11:03 | Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 11:01 | Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 02-11 06:43 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.93 |