50cents
0x7c9e0b03d7505dad7e87777cd282628f75b2db3d
- Realised P&L
- $7.9k
- Volume
- $8.12M
- Markets traded
- 5,493
- Open portfolio
- $782.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,493
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.013Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
- +$1.2kat 0.291Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$562.55at 0.023Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$462.46at 0.004Syria strikes Israel by August 31?
- +$400.52at 0.068Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:36 | Will Hylo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0257336957 | $4.74 |
| 09-16 18:01 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.004289704 | $2.13 |
| 09-15 18:22 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.69 |
| 09-15 18:20 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0237433265 | $1.16 |
| 09-15 18:18 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $51.59 |
| 09-14 21:20 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.84 |
| 09-14 21:19 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.27 |
| 09-14 21:09 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.53 |
| 09-14 21:08 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-14 21:07 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0602298851 | $5.24 |
| 09-14 20:51 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0627017544 | $3.57 |
| 09-14 20:51 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.061 | $2.44 |
| 09-14 20:51 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.061 | $2.44 |
| 09-14 20:51 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.061 | $2.44 |
| 09-14 20:49 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0312911711 | $49.09 |