0x3D77a146D6416fAd254a6EdA8b5722A07Ce87786-1771076935726
0x3d77a146d6416fad254a6eda8b5722a07ce87786
- Realised P&L
- $-311.35
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $228.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $72.00 | +$22.32 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.185 | $60.13 | −$5.17 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.101 | $42.41 | −$136.39 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.063 | $35.00 | −$105.60 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.080 | $18.80 | −$21.15 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.028 | $1.95 | −$17.93 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.004 | $0.56 | −$5.50 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.69 |
| Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.13 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 19:02 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $4.53 |
| 02-18 14:03 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $19.88 |
| 02-18 14:03 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.72 |
| 02-18 14:03 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.201 | $10.05 |
| 02-17 11:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $49.68 |
| 02-15 17:15 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |