Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.022. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.021 to 0.031. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	1,362	1,362
0.024	30	1,392
0.025	1,000	2,392
0.026	497	2,889
0.028	1,111	4,000
0.030	300	4,300
0.031	2,000	6,300
0.032	1,605	7,905
0.033	113	8,019
0.035	938	8,956
0.037	250	9,206
0.038	208	9,414

Spread0.001Mid0.022

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.022	56,516	56,516
0.021	119,527	176,043
0.020	4,982	181,025
0.017	50	181,075
0.015	204	181,279
0.013	1,616	182,895
0.012	3,383	186,278
0.011	6,336	192,614
0.010	15,465	208,080
0.009	4,444	212,524
0.008	2,500	215,024
0.007	7,765	222,789

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.978	56,516	56,516
0.979	119,527	176,043
0.980	4,982	181,025
0.983	50	181,075
0.985	204	181,279
0.987	1,616	182,895
0.988	3,383	186,278
0.989	6,336	192,614
0.990	15,465	208,080
0.991	4,444	212,524
0.992	2,500	215,024
0.993	7,765	222,789

Spread0.001Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	1,362	1,362
0.976	30	1,392
0.975	1,000	2,392
0.974	497	2,889
0.972	1,111	4,000
0.970	300	4,300
0.969	2,000	6,300
0.968	1,605	7,905
0.967	113	8,019
0.965	938	8,956
0.963	250	9,206
0.962	208	9,414

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ZnotluvuiSamez	Yes	354,893.95
Joe-Biden	Yes	100,011.05
0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204	Yes	56,956.49
Binturung	Yes	52,026.97
Zumala	Yes	31,360.25
Winner78	Yes	17,717.26
0x68a9B96f7E919f4F310F993a80341B10A5193630-1783161981242	Yes	13,980.14
Count.Glockula	Yes	12,657.35
Batundi	Yes	10,436.8
Sylvester.the.Cat	Yes	10,000
IbnKhaldun	Yes	10,000
AlexCimmeria	Yes	9,999.98
Romanukrfury	Yes	9,090.91
vitavit	Yes	9,090.91
DualDelta	Yes	9,000
bienmay1512	Yes	8,814.79
0xd100…15d1	Yes	6,411.44
REALDONALDPUMP420	Yes	5,926.73
0x1d1f…6f8d	Yes	5,016.9
Romkaqb	Yes	4,500

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:15:21	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
17:14:48	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
16:39:01	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
16:38:07	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
15:45:10	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
15:44:01	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
15:25:21	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
15:24:39	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
14:42:45	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
14:42:15	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
14:38:09	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
14:37:21	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
14:14:36	SELL	No	0.977	283	$276.96
14:10:45	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
14:10:19	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
13:10:03	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
13:09:16	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
12:59:00	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
12:58:39	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
12:44:16	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
12:43:49	SELL	No	0.977	140	$136.78
12:43:30	BUY	No	0.977999995	10	$9.79
10:52:58	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
10:52:57	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78
10:52:19	SELL	No	0.977	10	$9.78