Winner78
0x9a664cef51fcf89f381cfaa7ccca7bb5093b9bc0
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $667.0k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.239Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$255.62at 0.112Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
- +$81.81at 0.550Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$78.62at 0.388Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$46.16at 0.258Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 19:39 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.071 | $1.21 |
| 10-26 19:36 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 10-15 20:44 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-25 13:48 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 08-16 18:49 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.34 |
| 08-16 18:47 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.43 |
| 08-08 22:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 07-31 20:07 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 07-23 16:43 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 06-28 12:00 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 06-23 11:46 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999267 | $1.26 |
| 06-14 14:27 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $13.65 |
| 06-14 13:04 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 06-12 21:12 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.22 |
| 06-10 17:13 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.17 |