PolyBot

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Traders

Winner78

0x9a664cef51fcf89f381cfaa7ccca7bb5093b9bc0

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$667.0k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1190.035$1.0k−$2.5k
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0980.095$860.50−$24.74
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.022$398.64−$1.7k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1050.017$264.01−$1.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1200.045$215.55−$359.35
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$126.03−$666.18
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.036$109.50−$144.18
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$8.90−$4.04
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.020$8.86−$0.71
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.0780.033$2.34−$3.28
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2300.310$1.55+$0.40
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.0710.056$0.95−$0.26
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.035$0.53−$0.52
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0800.024$0.02−$0.06
Germany confidence vote in 2024? · No0.0170.000$0.00−$49.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 19:39Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.071$1.21
10-26 19:36US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.07$0.35
10-15 20:44Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?BUY0.23$1.15
08-25 13:48Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.07$1.05
08-16 18:49US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.08$1.34
08-16 18:47Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.036$0.43
08-08 22:37Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.13$1.04
07-31 20:07Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.08$1.04
07-23 16:43Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.07$1.05
06-28 12:00Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.12$1.08
06-23 11:46Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999267$1.26
06-14 14:27Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$13.65
06-14 13:04Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$1.05
06-12 21:12Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$2.22
06-10 17:13Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$2.17