PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204

0x798f98dc26cccbb7061e02f43de4e55f6362d7d3

Realised P&L
$-16.1k
Volume
$697.2k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$8.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0980.055$4.0k$3.1k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1290.055$3.1k$4.2k
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0360.004$502.19$3.5k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0800.065$408.57$93.93
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0180.013$2.31$0.69
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$638.89
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.0040.000$0.00$617.36
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$20.00
Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 19:05Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.008$6.50
08-29 17:52Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
08-26 14:09Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0186037139$344.00
08-24 19:22Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.08$500.00
08-24 17:02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999754$2.50
08-19 20:49Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.0010745531$48.00
08-19 19:42Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.0048177324$100.00
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.0011921959$53.33
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.001$0.61
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.014$40.78
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.001$0.46
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.001$0.69
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.001$0.51
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.001$0.67
08-19 19:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.001$0.58