0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204
0x798f98dc26cccbb7061e02f43de4e55f6362d7d3
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $438.7k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $13.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.085 | $5.6k | −$954.48 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.085 | $4.8k | −$2.5k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.029 | $2.4k | −$910.78 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.013 | $319.66 | −$26.26 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.075 | $165.83 | −$43.16 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $0.60 | −$2.40 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$526.74at 0.560US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$53.49at 0.430Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$18.33at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$13.52at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$0.64at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 01:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0324600745 | $695.00 |
| 08-01 05:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:51 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0135768256 | $145.00 |
| 07-31 04:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.012767253 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 04:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0337189562 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 04:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0314141512 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 02:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0143479995 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 02:36 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0373831869 | $150.00 |
| 07-25 15:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0460500114 | $354.71 |
| 07-25 15:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0412853732 | $684.29 |
| 07-19 16:10 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0175445077 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 23:53 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $92.00 |
| 07-14 23:46 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.4k |
| 07-14 23:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0487934804 | $1.2k |
| 07-14 23:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.3k |