0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204
0x798f98dc26cccbb7061e02f43de4e55f6362d7d3
- Realised P&L
- $-16.1k
- Volume
- $697.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.055 | $4.0k | −$3.1k |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.055 | $3.1k | −$4.2k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.004 | $502.19 | −$3.5k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $408.57 | −$93.93 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.013 | $2.31 | −$0.69 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$638.89 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$617.36 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$526.74at 0.560US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$53.49at 0.430Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$20.24at 0.392Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$18.33at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$1.33at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:05 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $6.50 |
| 08-29 17:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 14:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0186037139 | $344.00 |
| 08-24 19:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 08-24 17:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999754 | $2.50 |
| 08-19 20:49 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.0010745531 | $48.00 |
| 08-19 19:42 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.0048177324 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.0011921959 | $53.33 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.61 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $40.78 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.46 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.69 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 08-19 19:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.58 |