Batundi
0x9604b357e8307b0ccc8eb5812725d2b112c6fc1d
- Realised P&L
- $-140.8k
- Volume
- $9.37M
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $271.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · No | 0.970 | 0.970 | $210.2k | −$108.17 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.972 | $60.9k | +$5.1k |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.055 | $574.02 | −$578.05 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? · No | 0.210 | 0.120 | $240.00 | −$179.99 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.674 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.0kat 0.461Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$30.3kat 0.920Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$27.8kat 0.949Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$19.6kat 0.902Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$19.1kat 0.889US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 13:23 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.9699995848 | $210.3k |
| 08-20 22:08 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.21 | $7.98 |
| 07-26 09:32 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31? | BUY | 0.9899318182 | $217.79 |
| 07-19 23:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9791147436 | $1.9k |
| 07-19 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9648195238 | $1.7k |
| 06-21 17:27 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $652.44 |
| 06-15 23:55 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $360.00 |
| 06-15 12:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.121870232 | $716.57 |
| 06-15 12:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199129454 | $2.3k |
| 06-14 22:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.6k |
| 06-14 22:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2400381388 | $1.2k |
| 06-14 22:23 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2385901633 | $889.19 |
| 06-14 19:59 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.115 | $522.05 |
| 06-14 19:53 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8897445084 | $7.1k |
| 06-14 11:41 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.9543059735 | $7.7k |