Batundi
0x9604b357e8307b0ccc8eb5812725d2b112c6fc1d
- Realised P&L
- $-192.8k
- Volume
- $9.18M
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $92.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.977 | $61.2k | +$5.4k |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No | 0.829 | 0.888 | $20.3k | +$1.4k |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.840 | $11.2k | +$534.52 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.022 | $234.83 | −$917.25 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.1k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.674 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.0k |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$419.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.0kat 0.461Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$30.3kat 0.920Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$27.8kat 0.949Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$19.6kat 0.902Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$19.1kat 0.889US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:09 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8 | $84.29 |
| 10-12 23:09 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.5k |
| 10-10 01:15 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8298029649 | $6.0k |
| 10-09 16:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $348.00 |
| 10-09 16:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9028961091 | $4.5k |
| 10-09 11:49 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8198401881 | $3.7k |
| 10-06 01:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.839171447 | $54.1k |
| 10-06 01:06 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.831749751 | $9.2k |
| 08-23 13:23 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.9699995848 | $210.3k |
| 08-20 22:08 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.21 | $7.98 |
| 07-26 09:32 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31? | BUY | 0.9899318182 | $217.79 |
| 07-19 23:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9791147436 | $1.9k |
| 07-19 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9648195238 | $1.7k |
| 06-21 17:27 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $652.44 |
| 06-15 23:55 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $360.00 |