PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Binturung

0x9589a01c747dbb166718f81087220dc4071439b0

Realised P&L
$-14.6k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$11.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7070.705$4.9k−$14.99
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6500.705$2.1k+$165.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6600.635$1.9k−$74.99
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0640.022$1.2k−$2.2k
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8600.994$994.00+$134.00
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.745$499.00+$3.35
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.785$3.92+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:59Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.01$10.10
10-30 12:07Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.7$18.67
10-24 14:02Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8$17.99
10-22 18:06NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.79$743.52
10-22 18:04NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.63125$1.0k
10-22 11:51NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$4.4k
10-20 13:47NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$808.40
09-29 10:31Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.045854415$458.54
09-23 10:30Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$403.72
09-22 13:20Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$240.00
07-07 16:45Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.118$75.55
07-02 08:34Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?BUY0.9798025815$10.0k
06-18 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.26$13.00
06-18 17:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.2699999938$25.00
06-18 17:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.7699999877$5.00