Binturung
0x9589a01c747dbb166718f81087220dc4071439b0
- Realised P&L
- $-14.6k
- Volume
- $1.30M
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $11.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.707 | 0.705 | $4.9k | −$14.99 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.650 | 0.705 | $2.1k | +$165.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.660 | 0.635 | $1.9k | −$74.99 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.022 | $1.2k | −$2.2k |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.994 | $994.00 | +$134.00 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.745 | $499.00 | +$3.35 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.785 | $3.92 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.760US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$4.6kat 0.600US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.828NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.400US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.725NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:59 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 10-30 12:07 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.7 | $18.67 |
| 10-24 14:02 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8 | $17.99 |
| 10-22 18:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $743.52 |
| 10-22 18:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63125 | $1.0k |
| 10-22 11:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.4k |
| 10-20 13:47 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $808.40 |
| 09-29 10:31 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.045854415 | $458.54 |
| 09-23 10:30 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $403.72 |
| 09-22 13:20 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $240.00 |
| 07-07 16:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.118 | $75.55 |
| 07-02 08:34 | Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9798025815 | $10.0k |
| 06-18 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 06-18 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999938 | $25.00 |
| 06-18 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |