PolyBot

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Traders

REALDONALDPUMP420

0xa30e34cb813d1a94c8dee87f512076cdcc3a4b76

Realised P&L
$-754.23
Volume
$21.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$440.50$440.49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4600.595$388.15+$88.21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1250.045$203.92$360.93
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.595$17.50+$2.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2740.160$2.92$2.08
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2600.043$0.77$3.86
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$4.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · No0.0550.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26? · No0.2000.000$0.00$5.71
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? · No0.7200.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.4100.000$0.00$10.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 23:51Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999994$150.00
07-10 02:26Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999993$130.00
07-10 02:21Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$220.00
07-08 00:45Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999982$51.00
06-29 06:072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4299999954$48.53
06-25 08:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6483319557$33.00
06-23 16:39Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$55.00
06-23 15:49Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$55.00
06-23 15:442026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4299999985$100.00
06-23 15:35Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$220.00
06-01 01:07Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
05-18 10:352026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4499999927$18.52
05-18 10:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.87$18.24
05-06 05:21Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?BUY0.609999937$2.13
04-29 02:42Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.109999999$100.00