REALDONALDPUMP420
0xa30e34cb813d1a94c8dee87f512076cdcc3a4b76
- Realised P&L
- $-754.23
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.33at 0.352Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$32.97at 0.441Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$22.54at 0.670Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$17.44at 0.657Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.39at 0.410US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 23:51 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999994 | $150.00 |
| 07-10 02:26 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999993 | $130.00 |
| 07-10 02:21 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $220.00 |
| 07-08 00:45 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $51.00 |
| 06-29 06:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4299999954 | $48.53 |
| 06-25 08:07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6483319557 | $33.00 |
| 06-23 16:39 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 06-23 15:49 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 06-23 15:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 15:35 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $220.00 |
| 06-01 01:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 10:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4499999927 | $18.52 |
| 05-18 10:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $18.24 |
| 05-06 05:21 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.609999937 | $2.13 |
| 04-29 02:42 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |