PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bienmay1512

0x39126f4812e45ac42d01560d57f0ac7b59b9d9e8

Realised P&L
$-336.52
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$293.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1350.022$198.33−$995.66
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0660.019$92.68−$219.13
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? · Yes0.0980.047$2.41−$2.59
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.1140.000$0.00−$325.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 06:22Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.064$92.75
06-28 06:22Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.109999999$100.00
06-27 18:41Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1395872205$700.00
06-27 03:56Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0672859324$69.07
06-27 03:56Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.1118438124$125.00
06-26 04:03Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999998$400.00
06-26 03:51Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999988$94.00
06-26 03:50Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.119999999$100.00
06-26 03:49Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0669999994$100.00
06-19 17:04Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0637450199$50.00
06-19 06:57Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?BUY0.0975360002$5.00