bienmay1512
0x39126f4812e45ac42d01560d57f0ac7b59b9d9e8
- Realised P&L
- $-336.52
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $293.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.022 | $198.33 | −$995.66 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.019 | $92.68 | −$219.13 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.047 | $2.41 | −$2.59 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$325.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:22 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.064 | $92.75 |
| 06-28 06:22 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 18:41 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1395872205 | $700.00 |
| 06-27 03:56 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0672859324 | $69.07 |
| 06-27 03:56 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.1118438124 | $125.00 |
| 06-26 04:03 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $400.00 |
| 06-26 03:51 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999988 | $94.00 |
| 06-26 03:50 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 03:49 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0669999994 | $100.00 |
| 06-19 17:04 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0637450199 | $50.00 |
| 06-19 06:57 | Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | BUY | 0.0975360002 | $5.00 |