PolyBot

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Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. down 0.20 over the period, from 0.54. Range 0.21 to 0.56. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.52126126
0.535131
0.5785216
0.6940256
0.70100356
0.8378434
0.84100534
0.927541
0.9340581
0.965586
0.985,0905,676
0.991255,801

Spread0.36Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.165757
0.15100157
0.1340197
0.1021218
0.065223
0.0512236
0.04210446
0.03350796
0.025441,340
0.019632,302

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.845757
0.85100157
0.8740197
0.9021218
0.945223
0.9512236
0.96210446
0.97350796
0.985441,340
0.999632,302

Spread0.36Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.48126126
0.475131
0.4385216
0.3140256
0.30100356
0.1778434
0.16100534
0.087541
0.0740581
0.045586
0.025,0905,676
0.011255,801

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes139.75
LornaPredictsYes21.07
prospectpm6Yes20
IstarothYes15.02
stockyholmYes15
SmartBoyBillyYes5
cloverpmq2Yes4.5
0x28a6…d399Yes3.74
angelsanddemonsYes2
0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675No115.12
Milin-dcNo40
JesetradingNo20
a2oNo15.63
GuyFromTinderNo12.03
jensondNo10
leectramNo4.5
Welcome2026No2.33
PagCarNo2
cit500No1.56
0x27ef…a4e1No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:17:07SELLYes0.4420$8.80
18:02:22SELLNo0.5720$11.40
17:21:07BUYYes0.320$6.00
17:20:13SELLYes0.4220$8.40
17:20:07BUYNo0.5620$11.20
15:06:33BUYNo0.4840$19.20
11:24:48BUYNo0.4820$9.60
15:23:34SELLNo0.4710$4.62
13:02:38BUYNo0.485$2.40
18:33:42SELLNo0.6420$12.80
18:09:08BUYYes0.3825$9.50
14:16:33SELLNo0.471$0.70
14:15:08BUYNo0.53999998619$10.00
14:13:00BUYYes0.3820$7.60
14:13:00BUYYes0.3420$6.80
12:03:45BUYNo0.5619$10.61
11:29:14BUYYes0.3320$6.60
23:18:30BUYYes0.3319$6.25
22:48:17SELLYes0.3219$6.06
22:41:09SELLNo0.64112520$12.82
22:39:54BUYYes0.219$3.79
21:26:26BUYNo0.4659$27.17
05:12:09BUYNo0.4516$6.98
03:59:23SELLYes0.495031578919$9.41
03:50:26BUYYes0.5620$11.20